I like to observe market sentiment to see what stage the medium to short term is at

An interesting phenomenon

When many people start writing successful memoirs, it indicates a peak

When many people start writing reflections on failures, it indicates a bottom

This applies to short-term trends, and how to judge the bull market under the big cycle is no exception

When everyone realizes it's a bull market

It's basically the latter half

The bull market in the crypto world in 2021

Started from the despair in March 2020

But by the time most people realized it was a bull market

It was basically already 2021

Many coins had already skyrocketed over tenfold in the meantime.

One basic understanding in the market:

As long as there is a profit-making effect, funds will continue to flow in

Conversely, as the profit-making effect weakens, the focus of funds will decrease, and short-term or medium-term returns will naturally decline

One or more reasons attract capital market money into the crypto world

The market's profit-making effect continuously attracts speculative hot money to follow

This is an analysis from a macro perspective

But what is more important for us is to be immersed in this market to feel what a bull market is really like; a bull market is a feeling, and only those who have experienced it will understand.

What is a real bull market?

On normal days, a 3%-4% increase is celebrated.

In a bull market, a 30%-40% increase is commonplace.

Think about last year's MEME market and this year's AI

It's no exception; it's just that many people are in it without feeling it

Usually, each coin's rise has its own logic, be it market or technical factors

In a bull market, no matter how worthless the coin is, it rises without logic; sometimes it doubles in front of you, and you can't even tell why.

Usually, some coins rise, while others fall,

In a bull market, all coins are soaring, with illogical big candlesticks everywhere.

Usually, the strong remain strong while the weak remain weak

In a bull market, chaos ensues, leaving people dumbfounded

Usually, everything is calculated

In a bull market, it always breaks through your cognitive limits, even breaking through time and again. It breaks through to a point where you can't believe it.

Usually, getting in and buying coins requires a long consideration

In a bull market, everyone rushes in madly, afraid of being a second late and missing a tenfold return.

Reflect on your own situation, think carefully about where the market is at. Is the bull market still to come? Or are we in a correction within a bull market? Or has the bull market already ended?

I believe you will come to your own conclusion

I have finished writing, keep going