Personally tested method: In April, I rolled from 5000U to 120,000U in 18 days: The core to avoid liquidation in the currency circle is: Practical currency circle position management strategy
Starting from 5000U, rolling to 120,000U is not a fantasy.
But it requires precise strategy + strict position management.
The following are practical methods that have been verified by the market and are suitable for short-term/swing players.
But the "mysterious bonus" in the last step is the key.
Step 1: Fund Allocation (How to bet 5000U?)
Core principle: Don't all-in, don't gamble your life, roll with compound interest thinking
3000U (60%) → Low-risk and stable trading (BTC/ETH swing)
1000U (20%) → High-payout altcoins (grab hot spots, such as AI, MEME, RWA)
500U (10%) → Contract hedging (only used for extreme market protection)
500U (10%) → Cash reserve (waiting for a crash to buy the bottom)
Beginner mistake: All in on a certain currency, or gamble on the direction with full leverage
Step 2: Trading Strategy (How to grow funds?)
1. Main battlefield: BTC/ETH swing (3000U)
Strategy: Do swings at key support/resistance levels (such as buying when BTC falls to the moving average support and selling when it rises to the previous high resistance).
Goal: Earn 10-20% per wave, do it 2-3 times a month, compound interest rolling.
2. Critical hit point: High-payout altcoins (1000U)
Strategy: Only play with low-market-cap coins with hot spots (such as new coin listings, sector rotation)
3. Hedge protection (500U contract)
Usage: When the market experiences extreme conditions (such as before a crash), use 5-10x short orders to hedge and reduce spot losses.
Step 3: Position Management (How to avoid liquidation?)
Single transaction ≤ 10% of the principal (such as a 5000U account, one order ≤ 500U)
Hard stop loss ≤ 5% (cut when losing 500U, don't carry orders)
Profit-taking in batches (take half of the profits at 20%, and leave the other half to bet on higher profits)
Weekly review, cut off weak coins, and keep strong coins
Key thinking: Cut losses and let profits run, instead of running away when you make a little profit and carrying losses to the death
BTC single moving average operation method
I will tell you about the single moving average operation method for short selling.
1. If the price K-line breaks below the 5-day and 10-day moving averages from top to bottom, it indicates that the short-term has turned from bullish to bearish, and the selling force is strengthening. The probability of a decline in the future is high, and a sell signal appears. Investors should gradually leave the market and wait for short-term opportunities again.
2. If the price K-line breaks below the 10-day moving average from top to bottom, and then continues to break below the 30-day and 60-day moving averages, it indicates that the market is full of bearish sentiment, and there may be a deep decline in the future, which is a selling opportunity. The 30-day moving average is the lifeline of the price, and the 60-day moving average is a mid-term indicator. If the price breaks below these two important mid-to-short-term support levels, it indicates that a mid-term decline is unfolding, and investors should stop losses and leave the market in time.
3. If the price K-line continuously breaks below the 10-day and 30-day moving averages, and the 30-day moving average moves to the lower right, it indicates that the decline will be deeper, and it should be sold off and watched.
4. If the price K-line continuously breaks below the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages, and the 60-day moving average also moves to the lower right, the short-term opportunity is not great, and it should be sold in time.
5. When the price K-line is in a mid-to-high level consolidation for a long time, and the 10-day moving average breaks downward to the lower right, it indicates that the short power is increasing, and the market will continue to fall in the future, which is a selling opportunity.
6. When the 60-day moving average changes from an upward trend to a flat or downward turn to the lower right, it is a sell signal. The change in the 60-day moving average often indicates that there will be an intermediate decline in the market outlook, and investors should be especially careful.
The most common K-line pattern: application and judgment method of head and shoulders bottom pattern
In the K-line pattern, the head and shoulders bottom is a relatively common bottom K-line pattern. The head and shoulders bottom pattern is a signal of a stage-end stop of the market, and there is a high probability that there will be a wave of rise in the market outlook.
In actual operation, with the changes in the stock index, it is not easy to judge whether it is a head and shoulders bottom pattern. Sometimes, with the operation of the market, it may evolve into other patterns. Therefore, when making a judgment, investors must conduct a comprehensive analysis combining the trading volume and the previous market trend.
——What is "Head and Shoulders Bottom"?
The head and shoulders bottom K-line combination pattern often appears at the end of a bear market, which is a signal of stopping the decline and reversing! The figure is composed of the left shoulder, head, right shoulder, and neckline, and the curve is like two inverted shoulders carrying a head (as shown in Figure 1).
Head and shoulders bottom pattern
The head and shoulders bottom is named after the K-line combination pattern that resembles the relationship between the head and shoulders of a person. The head and shoulders bottom is an upward pattern, which is opposite to the head and shoulders top pattern, and is also known as the "inverted head and shoulders pattern".
Pattern characteristics of the head and shoulders bottom:
1. It often occurs in the last falling segment of the short market;
2. The head and shoulders bottom pattern must have three low peak points, and the low point of the head must be significantly lower than the shoulders.
3. The low points of the left shoulder and the right shoulder are roughly equal. The low point of the right shoulder of some head and shoulders bottoms is slightly lower than the left shoulder, but the low point of the right shoulder of the head and shoulders bottom must be lower than the high point of the left shoulder rebound;
4. The trading volume is distributed in a V-shape or head and shoulders top state. Sometimes the three parts are roughly equal, but a large trading volume must be coordinated when the neckline is broken.
In actual operation, the head and shoulders bottom is a relatively common bottom pattern, which often indicates that the market has achieved a stage-end stop of the decline, and there is a good chance that a wave of rebound and rise will unfold thereafter. Therefore, the formation of this pattern will often become a sign of supporting market confidence.
However, since it is not easy to judge whether a head and shoulders bottom is formed as the market changes, and some may evolve into other patterns, it is necessary to conduct a comprehensive analysis combining the trading volume and the characteristics of the previous trend.
From a practical point of view, after the K-line in the head and shoulders bottom breaks through the neckline, due to the counterattack of the short side, the market often experiences a habitual retracement. At this time, if the trading volume is significantly reduced, it can be considered that the previous breakthrough was effective. If the trading volume increases significantly during the callback, investors should be vigilant and not blindly intervene.
Operating methods for different patterns:
1) Typical head and shoulders bottom pattern: It is recommended to operate strictly according to the above suggestions.
2) Double left and right shoulder head and shoulders bottom pattern: Because this pattern is brewed more fully, the possibility of the running range exceeding the minimum range after the upward breakthrough is greater. The opportunity points in operation are as shown in the figure above, and there is no major difference from the standard head and shoulders bottom.
3) Double-head and shoulders bottom pattern: Because this variant has a more solid bottom, after the initial formation of the pattern, the right shoulder position can already be regarded as a more confident entry opportunity, and the running space after breaking through the neckline is also expected to exceed the minimum range.
4) ABC-shaped rebound: Generally, at this time, the upward momentum of the stock price after breaking through the neckline is significantly weakened and it is difficult to maintain. It will soon fall below the neckline again, forming a zigzag correction and continuing to fall. This evolution requires more coordination on the indicators.
5) Head and shoulders bottom failure pattern: The head and shoulders bottom pattern fails after breaking through the neckline. The probability of this running rhythm is low, but this is why we set stop losses under any pattern to prevent unexpected running rhythms.
Being able to accurately predict the bottom and top of the price trend can be said to be the ideal that investors dream of, but it is difficult to achieve this in reality. There is no best point, only a better strategy. Only by patiently waiting for accurate opportunities can you be victorious in every battle!
Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day; teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime. I have always believed in this sentence. Only by persisting in struggle will we see hope, instead of going to struggle after we have hope. So don't easily stop moving forward. As long as you are not decadent, not passive, and always quietly brewing optimism, cultivating openness, and adhering to kindness, as long as you are on the road, there is no distant place that you cannot reach.
Let me tell you about the important knowledge of (Fibonacci Practical Combat Method)
I have theoretically given you this knowledge (Fibonacci practical combat method), (some people must have heard of it, but there should be more people who haven't heard of it). I hope everyone can learn more about the knowledge of the currency circle, and I also hope that all the knowledge I have taught can help everyone, so that everyone can have a long rainbow on the road of investment!
1. In an upward trend, the resistance level means that the upward momentum will rest here, but sooner or later it will be crossed upward; while in a downward trend, the support level is not enough to resist the market's decline for a long time, but at least it can temporarily frustrate it.
If the upward trend is to continue, each successive bottom point (support level) must be higher than the previous bottom point, and each successive upward high point (resistance level) must also be higher than the previous high point.
2. Reveal buying and selling opportunities. The double-line, medium-term, and long-term moving averages cross when the trend changes, sending out buying and selling signals, which are divided into golden crosses and death crosses. When the double-line average line breaks through the medium and long-term average line from below, it is a golden cross, which is a buy signal; when the double-line average line breaks through the medium and long-term average line from above, it is a death cross, which is a sell signal. As shown in the figure below:
BTC 6-hour K-line chart. When the 7-day moving average crosses above the 30-day moving average, it is a golden cross and a buy signal; when the 7-day moving average crosses below the 30-day moving average, it is a death cross and a sell signal.
3. Several moving average patterns:
1. Moving average adhesion
Moving average adhesion refers to the long-term horizontal consolidation of prices or indexes, and multiple moving averages are intertwined and entangled with each other. Moving average adhesion can appear at any position in the trend operation, and is a relatively common moving average technical pattern in the process of K-line bottoming, adjusting, topping, and rebounding.
2. Moving average divergence
The moving average divergence phenomenon can often be encountered in actual operations, and it is very helpful for grasping short-term opportunities. The so-called moving average divergence refers to two situations:
[1] When the price falls to the bottom and then rises from the bottom, the running direction of the medium and long-term moving averages is generally downward. When the price breaks through a moving average, the running direction of the price and the direction of the broken moving average are "crossed" and opposite. This is the moving average divergence.
[2] When the price rises to the top and then falls rapidly, the running direction of the medium and long-term moving averages is still upward. When the price quickly breaks through a medium and long-term moving average, the direction of the price is downward at this time, but the direction of the broken moving average is upward. The direction of the price and the broken moving average is also "crossed" and opposite. This is also a moving average divergence phenomenon.
4. Practical application skills of buying, holding, and selling with double-line combination
The double-line combination is mostly composed of a short-term moving average as the quantitative line and a medium-term moving average with a shorter cycle as the qualitative line. The double-line combination has good sensitivity and is suitable for swing operations in a unilateral market, with obvious advantages. However, in a volatile market, buying and selling signals are too frequent, and loss-making operations of selling low and buying high often occur. In a volatile market, it is recommended to use support and resistance levels for operation, such as when the K-line is in "box oscillation", the support level of the lower rail of the box is a buying point, and the resistance level of the upper rail of the box is a selling point.
(1) The qualitative line goes up, and the K-line breaks through the qualitative line upwards, indicating that the medium-term trend is upward.
Ethereum (ETH) 3-hour K-line chart. The K-line first broke through the quantitative line with a big positive line at the bottom, but because the price is below the qualitative line, it is not a buying point and does not need to be paid attention to.
Subsequently, the K-line retraced and stopped falling, and broke through the qualitative line upward for the second time. At this time, the qualitative line has begun to rise, and the K-line has been running above the qualitative line after the retracement, which is a buy signal.
As shown in the figure below:
(2) The quantitative line crosses above the qualitative line to form a golden cross, and the market outlook is bullish. Buy in.
Ethereum (ETH) 3-hour K-line chart. After the previous K-line once broke below the qualitative line, the K-line stopped falling and rebounded, breaking upward through the qualitative line. The quantitative line also turned upward and crossed above the qualitative line to form a golden cross, a bullish signal. Buy.
The qualitative line goes up, and the point where the K-line breaks through the qualitative line upwards is also a buying point. Compared with the golden cross buying point, the former is more aggressive.
As shown in the figure below:
(3) The K-line falls, and it stops falling and rebounds with the upward support of the qualitative line. Buy in.
H currency (HT) daily chart. The K-line relies on the upward qualitative line and walks out of the moving average technical pattern of climbing uphill, which is a very important holding stage. During the period, the K-line has adjusted many times, and all of them have stopped falling and rebounded after encountering the support of the qualitative line. Traders can enter the market to buy or increase positions. The buying point can be selected at the position where it breaks through the quantitative line upwards.
As shown in the figure below:
(4) The qualitative line goes up, and the K-line breaks through the quantitative line upwards in the direction of the qualitative line. Buy in.
Above the qualitative line, the K-line breaks through the quantitative line upwards, which mostly indicates that the K-line has entered a short-term strong period, and some will accelerate the rise.
As shown in the figure above:
BTC 3-hour K-line chart. In the case of the qualitative line upward support, after the K-line breaks through the quantitative line upward twice, there has been an accelerated upward market, indicating that breaking through the quantitative line upward is a better entry point. Traders can enter the market to buy or increase positions.
(5) During the period of double-line bullish arrangement, the position should be reduced when the K-line breaks below the quantitative line; when the K-line breaks below the qualitative line, and the qualitative line is flat or has turned downward, clear the position and sell.
Other indicators of my currency market trading system
1. Many novices ask me what technical analysis to learn? What related books to read? My answer to this question is: the more the better first. As a result, many people do work very hard, read a lot of books, and learn a lot of technology, but they still can't trade this coin well.
It should be: the more the better first, then form a system, and then the more the better.
Many people ignore this process and never find the right way in the more the better, and eventually doubt the effectiveness of the technology.
2. The first more the better is to enrich your knowledge reserves.
The second more the better is to use more technology to assist the trading system. So when you feel that "you understand a lot of technology, but you still can't trade this coin well" and encounter a bottleneck that cannot be broken through, it is time to establish your own trading system.
Next, let's talk about why the "other indicators" of the trading system must be "the more the better" and what their significance is.
3. The operation of K-lines has its own internal laws, and no one can fully understand them. Various technical analyses are only to try to understand a certain part, each with its own strengths and weaknesses. Just like blind men touching an elephant, each has its own explanation.
But if you grab as many "blind people" as possible and ask them clearly, and then do some portrait puzzles, isn't it much clearer what an "elephant looks like"? Relying solely on Deng Chao's description, the "mermaid" may look strange.
4. The significance of "the more the better" lies in: although they do not affect the position weight, and seem harmless and dispensable, their existence can help you establish a more complete trading system, as well as reserves for continuous iteration, upgrading, and optimization of the trading system.
If the reserves are not enough and the research is not deep enough, the system will always be rigid there, losing the possibility of iteration and upgrade.
This is a stage that must be passed from master to grandmaster.
5. For example, after long-term tracking and in-depth research, you increasingly believe that a certain indicator has a high probability advantage at a certain special moment, you can completely add it to the weight indicator and reorganize the position strategy. It does not have to be arranged according to the first, second, and third steps of my trading system. There is no perfect trading system in the world, and the one that suits you is the best. As long as you can choose scientifically, execute strictly, and have the ability to iterate, you will become an excellent trading system sooner or later.
6. Writing here, it is estimated that some people will say that they can directly send more indicators. There is no way, the market is full of a large number of people who are unwilling to study and think deeply. In fact, I am already very lazy in the financial circle. Which of the domestic securities tycoons who have some personal relationships with me is not erudite and continue to maintain high learning enthusiasm! Seeing them, I will sigh, how helpless it is to be more diligent than those who are better than you.
The ease and difficulty of my currency market trading system
1. Brad Pitt has starred in the series (Ocean's Eleven), (Ocean's Twelve), and (Ocean's Thirteen), which tells the story of finding a group of people with various unique skills, forming a team, and ultimately achieving high-difficulty goals that ordinary people cannot imagine.
If the knowledge base is not wide enough, you may not even know who to look for; if you do not understand these people deeply enough, you will not know whether these people are suitable and can be competent in their respective jobs.
2. Once such a team is found and built, things will become much simpler later.
Yes, you should know that I am not just talking about that movie. Building a trading system is the same. This building process is very difficult, but once it is built, things will be much simpler later. Before facing the transaction, it was casual, random, and emotionally fluctuating. After having a system, the biggest change is: people will feel very solid.
3. This sense of security comes from the trading system putting 90% of your emotions into a cage through a refined and quantified system.
From then on, every buy and sell, and every arrangement of your position, will be justified and well-founded.
Trading has also changed from something that requires extremely high personal ability to a mechanical step-by-step process. This is the empowerment that the trading system gives you.
From then on, you will no longer be subject to the bewilderment of various disturbances in the market, and no longer suffer from the torment of greed and fear.
4. The heavy and solid feeling of having both feet on the ground cannot be experienced by people without a trading system.
Once you have it, you will feel like never before: it turns out that trading can be so simple! Isn't it difficult? Taking my system as an example, you only need to patiently wait until the trend and structure are triggered, and then operate one by one according to the position management rules. Don't think that the operations of those Wall Street gods are so mysterious. The daily work is also unremarkable.
5. The same results have vastly different effects when placed in the hands of different people.
The reason is: are these products of in-depth learning and thinking, or are they hearsay takeaways, or do you not believe them at all, just like some trolls sneering at this tutorial these days. As the Godfather said: People who can see the essence of things in half a second and people who can't see the essence of things in a lifetime are destined to have completely different fates.
6. Even if everything is the same, if you do not conduct in-depth study and thinking, the execution will be greatly reduced. Once the operation is deformed, the system will collapse immediately.
Because there is no perfect trading system, any system has a period of headwinds. If it's smooth sailing, there's not much difference, but once you are in a period of headwinds for a long time, the power of belief becomes the most important magic weapon.
After all, in real trading, you still need to fight against the 10% of emotional residue yourself.
7. Just like the process recorded in the previous backtest table, if you are unlucky, you may have to lose 10 transactions before you can finally wait for that one wonderful success.
The question is how many people can persevere to the end? I can take you 90 steps, but you have to take the last 10 steps yourself, after all, the account is your own, and you have to face the final barrier yourself. After passing, there is true great light.
8. So far, the system tutorial is complete. Due to the length, I have not specifically explained many contents, but the key points have been mentioned. After class, you can find information for targeted learning. Next, I plan to attach ten extra chapters on the trading system focusing on some trading problems, so stay tuned.
Follow Brother Su closely, use precise strategic analysis, and use a huge amount of millions of Ai big data to select carefully to make yourself invincible? The market never lacks opportunities, the question is whether you can seize them, follow experienced people and the right people, so that we can earn more!
