Today 480 U, May 28, 2025

The contract has a record of 15 days, 21 battles, and 20 victories. There is still one contract currently in a loss, bearing the position. Achieving a perfect win rate is not something I genuinely hope for; the correct development of events should involve small losses and large gains, a few failures, and many victories. A perfect win rate only indicates that a single loss could lead to a total loss; winning 99% means you can't afford to lose 1%.

Can I actively cut my losses now? Should I cut my losses? Can I admit my mistakes? Or should I set a stop loss and vow not to withdraw my order?

I've looked at the daily K-line of BTC, and from a fundamental perspective, the reasons to remain conservative include: the customs situation continues to significantly impact global economic growth, and the Trump administration's handling lacks long-term clarity; the yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds remains high, suppressing the outlook for risk assets; BTC's unnatural buying pressure fueled by the optimistic sentiment of traditional retail investors is driving prices up, with imitators emerging suggesting this strategy may soon peak. Furthermore, after experiencing the most brutal altcoin crash in history from February to March, it is entirely understandable that the market has developed a defensive mindset.

Personally, I tend to lean towards an optimistic emotional mindset; most people in the market are still looking for opportunities. BTC is performing strongly in terms of news against the fundamentals; the cryptocurrency market is primarily driven by news. The market will always reward those who dare to take risks for greater dreams (in fact, this process has already begun). Now everyone's attention is focused on BTC, and the price is hovering near historical highs. Will we eventually break through upwards, or will we encounter the biggest bull market trap I have ever seen?

Rather than thinking about winning, it is better to ensure not losing first. However, I currently have no fighting power; being conservatively defensive is not my preferred option. Being bold and fighting for a chance to gain strength is my preferred option. May the brave win, and may the brave be invincible.