The big one is coming! The fatal trap behind the surge in BTC!
🔥 Core risk warning:
1. Countdown to Trump's tariff bomb
Postponement of tariffs on Europe does not mean cancellation. Panic may explode at any time before July 9, and Bitcoin will be the first to plummet.
2. Futures leverage has reached suicide level
The financing rate has soared to 0.035%, the highest in nearly six months. The 75 billion dollar bet continues to rise, and 30% of the bulls may become cannon fodder.
3. New routines for institutions to cut leeks
MicroStrategy holds 500,000 BTC, and calls for more orders to let retail investors take over at 110,000 dollars.
4. The curse of 7 consecutive weeks of continuous increases is in full swing
Historical data: There is a 70% probability of a pullback after 7 consecutive weeks of increases, with an average decline of 12%. The current technical indicators are highly similar to those before the crash in 2021.
There will be a short-term pullback! 110,000 dollars is the institutional delivery line. Trump/leverage/history are the three negative factors. 90,000 dollars is the safe bottom-fishing zone.
Operational suggestions:
Short-term: Reduce positions immediately when it falls below 105,000, and hold 100,000 before bottom-fishing
Long-term: Wait for the callback to the 95,000-100,000 range to build positions in batches, hold on and don't let go
Life and death line: The weekly closing price breaks 90,000, stop loss decisively and wait for the next round.
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