Current situation (May 24, 2025):
Price: ~$97,000–$100,000 (USD, based on recent data).
Context: Bitcoin remains the leader of the crypto market, supported by institutional adoption, the 2024 halving, and macroeconomic factors.
Technical forecast for 2026:
Prices:
Optimistic: $120,000–$150,000 (growth of 20–50%) in a bull market and capital inflow.
Neutral: $100,000–$120,000 (growth of 0–20%).
Pessimistic: $70,000–$85,000 during a global correction or regulatory restrictions.
Levels:
Support: $90,000–$95,000, $80,000–$85,000.
Resistance: $103,000–$105,000, $120,000–$130,000.
Trend: Bullish on long-term timeframes (W1, MN), but consolidation or correction may occur after recent growth. RSI (~60) is neutral, MA (50/200) confirms bullish trend.
Fundamentals:
Drivers of growth:
Halving 2024 has reduced supply, strengthening deflationary pressure.
Institutional demand: ETFs (BlackRock, Fidelity), corporate investments (MicroStrategy).
Increase in use of Lightning Network and DeFi on BTC (e.g., BitVM).
Macroeconomics: weakening dollar, inflation, geopolitical instability.
Risks:
Regulatory restrictions (SEC, global laws).
High volatility during stock market corrections.
Competition from altcoins (ETH, SOL) for market share.
Recommendation:
Investors: Buy on corrections up to $90,000–$95,000, stop below $80,000. Long-term hold for growth to $120,000+.
Traders: Buy on breakout at $105,000, target $120,000–$130,000. Sell below $95,000, target $80,000–$85,000.
Risk: 1–2% of deposit, consider volatility.
