$ETH 5 May 24 13:30 Midday Simulation

🧭 Current:

Structural Rhythm: ETH maintains a high-level震荡回落 structure across multiple periods, with weak rebounds frequently obstructed by the Premium area, overall showing a continuation of a bearish intermediate trend.

On-chain Data: Large holders are bearish, active selling pressure continues, CVD and open interest are declining in sync, indicating that the rebound lacks substantial capital support.

⏳ Main Scenario (Bearish震荡)

If the price remains constrained between 2545-2560 and cannot effectively stabilize:

It will test the liquidity blocks of 2510-2480, where there is a Weak Low and strong support overlapping;

If it breaks below 2480, it will test the 2450–2400 range again.

⏳ Alternate Scenario (Bullish反包)

If the price strongly breaks above 2560 and stabilizes, it will open a short-term反包 window towards the 2590–2620 area;

At that time, pay attention to high short opportunities (the upper edge of the Premium area overlapping with structural resistance).