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Crypto Meets Theory: 5 Finance Concepts Every Trader Should Master Day 5 – Friday Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): What’s Your Token Really Worth? CAPM helps estimate the expected return of an asset based on its risk relative to the market. While crypto isn’t exactly the S&P 500, the logic still applies. Is your altcoin reward worth the volatility you’re signing up for? CAPM won’t tell you what’s going to pump, but it might stop you from buying nonsense with a cool logo and zero fundamentals.

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🌏 Market Snapshot: • Japan’s Nikkei up 0.47% — core inflation accelerates to 3.5% YoY • Singapore inflation beats expectations, fueling price pressure concerns • European markets mixed:→ Stoxx 600: -0.03%→ FTSE 100: +0.09%→ DAX: +0.17%→ CAC 40: -0.42% • Wall Street futures slightly down:→ Dow Jones: -0.12%→ S&P 500: -0.09%→ Nasdaq: -0.07% • U.S. bond market closes early at 3 PM (ET) due to Memorial Day • Focus on 5th round of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Rome European Economic Data Beats Expectations Europe delivers upside surprises this morning: • Germany’s GDP grew 0.4% in Q1, its strongest performance since 2022 • UK retail sales rose 1.2% in April, driven by higher food purchases

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Sentiment as a Leading Indicator in Crypto Markets In the volatile world of cryptocurrencies, market sentiment often precedes price movements, making it a crucial indicator for traders. Milk Road’s Crypto Fear & Greed Index quantifies investor emotions on a scale from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). For instance, on February 27, 2025, the index plummeted to 10, signaling extreme fear, which was followed by a significant drop in Bitcoin’s price to $42,150. Conversely, by March 28, 2025, the index rose to 72, indicating greed, coinciding with Bitcoin $BTC reaching $67,450 and Ethereum $ETH climbing to $3,200. These shifts underscore the index’s potential in forecasting market trends.Milk Road emphasizes that traders need not catch the exact market bottom but should focus on recognizing shifts in sentiment. Being attuned to these changes can offer strategic entry points, as sentiment often changes before prices do. Incorporating sentiment analysis into trading strategies can provide a competitive edge, allowing investors to anticipate market movements and make informed decisions.

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Crypto Meets Theory: 5 Finance Concepts Every Trader Should Master Day 4 – Thursday Risk-Reward Tradeoff: The Art of Not Blowing Up In crypto, people love moonshots. But every reward comes with risk, and pretending otherwise is financial delusion. The risk-reward tradeoff teaches you to evaluate if a trade is actually worth it. That 50x leverage sounds fun—until it isn’t. A good trader doesn’t avoid risk; they price it correctly. Trade like a sniper, not like a gambler.

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