BTC has broken the historical high of 110,000 and set another record. Altcoins are still showing their lagging nature; as they stabilize, they will soar rapidly. As BTC reaches a historical high, the public must understand that this is the favorable wind of policy, and it marks the beginning of an unprecedented bull market.
I have been reminding everyone these past few days that Bitcoin will surge significantly, and today it has reached a new high as expected, continuously hitting new highs, and after each new high, there is yet another! In my article yesterday (Bitcoin aiming for 110,000, ETH bullish at 3,000 this week, altcoin rally coming! These junk coins are set to skyrocket 100 times! Trump + Sun Yuchen’s 'curse' reappears, will it rise or crash?), I also mentioned that every pullback is an opportunity to get in, not to short.
The target of 110,000 aligns with the script; all our recent trades have hit the mark.
Bitcoin (BTC)
Today, both large and small levels are in a bullish trend, indicating that the large-level bullish structure is still ongoing and will not end in the short term. However, they also face risks such as potential top divergence after the positive deviation increases, mainly to guard against short-term risks and the large level re-entering a fluctuating trend.
Short-term support at 109172~108625 (aggressive, watch closely for quick in and out), second support at 106558~104312 (watch closely for quick in and out). The rebound points for urgent drops are 99999 and 94810 (not within the current running range, regular fluctuations won’t reach these levels; in extreme situations, you can act on these two points separately based on the situation, don’t merge them).
Ethereum (ETH)
ETH has broken through 2600, effectively breaking above the rising channel, initiating a new phase of one-sided upward movement. I will give two upward targets: one is the 2725 area, and the other is the 3075 area.
Don’t short during a large-level breakout, as luck could land you in a false breakout, and bad luck could lead to liquidation. Moving forward, as long as BTC can stabilize, ETH should experience a significant catch-up surge next. This round of ETH's explosion has not yet begun; don’t panic with spot trading, but be wary of rapid declines in contracts.
Additionally, here’s a little trading tip: when you don’t know when ETH will take off, you can refer to the ETH/BTC exchange rate, and it will be clear.
The reason I judge that ETH has reached the bottom and will rebound significantly is based on this. My judgment that ETH will catch up today and go long is also based on this.
Currently, the market is filled with opportunities; Moodeng, Pnut, PEOPLE, Ethfi, ENA, Ray, SOL, quality altcoins are all worth buying with closed eyes.
Every sector is going crazy, and operations are overwhelming; today feels like going to war:
1: IBRL - The team is underperforming, the mechanism is confusing, causing many to miss out on major gains.
Even though I kept adding positions later, I didn’t dare to go heavy, the reason? The team’s strength is considered the second tier, not comparable to BELIEVE and BONK. The downside is that the documentation is written in two places, and the coin burning mechanism is algorithm-driven.
The 'anti-sandwich' design was originally to build its own pool, keeping prices unchanged within a slot, which is essentially a way to temporarily disable the price to prevent sandwich attacks.
2: USD1 Hot speculation - Why did B tokens surge 8 times?
I recommended B a long time ago, and those who followed my advice in the early days have already made a profit. Today, Trump's team announced on Twitter the purchase of B, the project narrative has upgraded, increasing expectations for B, and the internationalization process is accelerating. The current market value is 140 million, the funding effect is explosive, and the valuation reshaping has already started, far from peaking.
USD1 doge isn’t worth it; the pool is too small, making it hard to earn a few hundred U. You need to enter and exit quickly. I used 50% of my movable position to chase lista, gradually taking profits at 0.29.
3: BELIEVE's sharp drop vs. market frenzy
No more nonsense, BELIEVE holders are suffering, while other market sectors are going wild, emotions are split. Is it due to project issues or capital rotation? Needs observation.
4: DARK - Is the MCP track a pseudo-demand?
Edgar means that MCP cannot be developed; there is basically no market demand. It will take 1-3 years to see any hope (this judgment is quite consistent with my initial view). But DARK has been hyped into the MCP leader purely driven by market sentiment. The pump needs to be quick in and out; be a player.
Edgar has also publicly admitted that MCP is not feasible and expressed a willingness to transform, which is better than those 'pretending to work' project leaders. But what is DPCORE doing after messing things up? The narrative-driven market movement, even the founder doesn’t believe in it, would you dare to hold long?
5: BETA Strategy - Don’t just focus on chasing Alpha; be careful not to underperform the market!
Everyone should pay attention to beta; now ETH is up 2-3 times from the bottom, many mainstream coins are up 3-4 times. If your position can’t keep up with this increase, it’s not qualified! Strategy advice: don’t just fixate on Alpha (excess returns), don’t miss out on Beta (market gains); otherwise, you’ll work yourself to death without enjoying the bull market dividends!
Holding mainstream coins in full is a safe choice; it's late to get in now, but there is still room. Rolling positions to go long (high risk) can be attempted, but spot trading is more suitable for most people.
