This round of market is different from the past; it is no longer a retail frenzy but an epic market led by institutions and governments. $BTC has shifted from the previous halving cycle-driven phase to institution-led after the introduction of ETFs. The traditional four-year cycle is no longer applicable, and the market has entered a long bull phase with clear signals, while retail investors hold less and less BTC. At this point, if the U.S. passes the stablecoin bill, the capital pool in the crypto market will significantly increase, and the rise in BTC prices will drive the growth of stablecoin scales, thereby absorbing more U.S. Treasury bonds and entering a relatively virtuous cycle.
However, there is a noticeable problem now; beneath the dazzling new highs of BTC lies the silence of $ETH and many altcoins. It is still unclear whether there will be further increases in the future; it is generally hard to tell, but it is a possibility. At least so far, the BTC trend appears a bit weak after the new highs, with insufficient upward momentum and overall market liquidity still relatively weak. This indicates that a real bull market may have to wait a while longer, waiting for the real confirmation on the day of interest rate cuts!
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