SOL Whale Movement! Has the Minefield Operation Started?
The trend of SOL looks like the dogs are playing 'Drawing the Door', with expectations fully inflated by the up and down spikes. The 4-hour level is even more exciting—right in the middle of a stair-step pressure band, the volume is as lethargic as a straight line, and a volatility of 0.47% is simply a test of patience; retail investors are either playing dead or getting shaken out.
1. Underlying News Flow
A big storm broke early in the morning: A certain whale, after holding back for 10 months, suddenly released its stakes, dumping 186,000 SOL on Coinbase in one go. Although it earned 11,000 SOL from staking rewards, it still lost 820,000 dollars overall. This kind of loss-driven move indicates that large players are hedging in advance. However, institutions are subtly positioning themselves; on-chain monitoring shows that entities like DeFi Development Corp hold over 100 million, and new funds are starting to ambush with expectations for the 'Altcoin Season'. The 83% year-on-year increase in the number of developers also fuels the ecosystem's growth.
2. Dog Players' Script Simulation
The upper Bollinger Band is today's lifeline; only by standing firm can one challenge the previous high of 180. But the current price can't even break the middle band, and it is very likely to dip down this afternoon. If a breakdown occurs, the weekly defense level must be closely monitored; if it breaks with volume, the integer level of 170 will be in danger. MACD is now like Schrödinger's cat—4-hour level histogram oscillating between positive and negative, hourly golden and dead crosses bouncing back and forth, trading contracts in such times is equivalent to giving the exchange transaction fees.
3. Advice from Fengyun
Remember that the current market sentiment is more fragile than glass; any stir from the SEC regarding the GENIUS bill could trigger a disaster. It's better to keep some bullets than to gamble on faith.
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