【AAVE Daytime Battle Analysis: The Chip Code Behind the Main Force's Door】
Key Quote: When all the moving averages twist into a helix, you must be cautious of the main force quietly reaching into their pocket for the keys.
Currently, AAVE's trend is like the Wolf of Wall Street performing an undercover operation. The EMA7 and MA7 lines act like two security guards at the $260 VIP entrance, with the price being stopped every time it approaches $263 for an ID check. Below, the EMA30 and MA30 form a 'Thirty Brothers Alliance,' resembling scalpers at the back door, always ready to assist a drunken man jumping out the window.
The climax of today’s performance occurred at 10 AM when a long upper shadow formed, with the price surging to $275.3 before suddenly diving, replicating last September's classic door-opening market. The MACD dual lines are glued around 12.8, barely alive, mirroring last year's top divergence structure.
However, there’s a twist in the on-chain data: a mysterious address purchased 18,000 AAVE in three transactions last night, with tactics highly similar to Jump Capital's bottom-fishing of Compound last year.
Trading volume shrank to 520 million, only 60% of the 5-day average volume of 810 million, reminding me of the deathly volume shrink before Luna's collapse. But the OBV indicator shows that the main force is secretly accumulating—beneath the seemingly calm market, whales are betting real money on the positive news of the V3 upgrade.
Two suggested strategies:
1. Follow-up strategy: Buy 30% of your position at the current price of $263, with a stop loss below the 'double thirty defense line' at $248.6, targeting a retest of the $280 highs.
2. Ambush strategy: Place a limit order at $252, as this position is not only a convergence of moving averages but also the breakout point of the volume surge on May 12.
The liquidation data shows a long-short ratio of 1.5:1, with a perpetual contract funding rate of 0.05%. The dealer's knife to slaughter the long positions is already unsheathed. Remember that last year's 312 crash occurred at this dangerous ratio.
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