🚀🚀🚀5.21 Market Analysis!!!

Brothers, good afternoon. Last night, Bitcoin retraced to around 104,000, and today it directly broke through to a new high of around 107,500, showing a very strong performance.

If we take a close look at the candlestick chart, we will find that the lower shadow is particularly long, indicating that the whales are clearly accumulating. I mentioned before that the big move hasn't happened yet, one of the factors being that the US stablecoin bill hasn't passed. Recently, there have been positive signs for this bill, with an 80% probability of it passing.

Bitcoin is moving relatively steadily, but there are two black swan events that we must be cautious about; this is the norm in trading, which is full of risks and lacks 100% certainty.

Black Swan 1: Israel may attack Iran's nuclear facilities, leading to a drop of more than 5% in Bitcoin, while altcoins may drop by 15%.

Black Swan 2: The aftermath of Trump’s tariffs continues to brew, with unilateral high tariffs imposed on certain countries, which could lead to a significant drop in US stocks, Bitcoin falling more than 3%, and altcoins dropping more than 10%.

Yesterday, K哥 analyzed the lifecycle of contract accounts for everyone. If the above black swans occur, you might wake up to find your account blown up. Black swans are low-probability events, but we must be vigilant.