Is PYTH about to surge? A comprehensive analysis of technical aspects and the latest news

Today's PYTH movement is so stuck that it's making people sleepy, the five-minute K-line is horizontally oscillating as if glued, with prices repeatedly rubbing against the moving average near 0.127. The opening price of 0.12689 and the closing price of 0.12712 form a doji pattern, with both bulls and bears engaged in a tug-of-war at this key price level. The current distance between the MA7 moving average (0.12692) and the MA30 moving average (0.12615) has narrowed to 7.7 basis points, and this 'twisted' state often indicates an impending trend change.

In-depth technical analysis

On the daily chart, prices have been oscillating in the 0.126-0.128 range for 12 consecutive hours. Although the MACD histogram has contracted from -0.0012 to -0.0008, the death cross pattern below the zero line remains unchanged. The RSI indicator is oscillating around 47.3, and the Bollinger Bands have compressed to 1.2%. Trading volume has sharply decreased by 38% compared to yesterday, with the current trading scale of 500 million setting a new low for this month. This shrinking oscillation pattern is consuming market momentum, and the previous high resistance level at 0.12727 has been unsuccessfully tested three times, forming a strong resistance zone.

Latest market dynamics

Pyth Network announced this morning that it has reached a data verification agreement with Chainlink, which will connect to the cross-chain oracle service of the Solana ecosystem. This news briefly stimulated spot prices to rise to 0.1282 during the Asian session, but it failed to maintain the resistance level. The TPS on the Solana chain remains at 2800, with on-chain staking volume increasing by 17% compared to last month, and the total locked value of DeFi within the ecosystem has surpassed $4.5 billion, providing underlying support for PYTH.

Operational strategy

The current oscillation range has narrowed to 0.126-0.128, and it is advisable to focus on three key levels: the 13-day moving average support at 0.1265, the accumulation zone at 0.1275, and the previous high resistance at 0.1282. Aggressive traders can place limit buy orders at the lower edge of the range at 0.1260, with a stop loss at 0.1255; conservative investors should wait for a breakout above 0.1285 before following in. If the volume continues to shrink, be wary of the risk of false breakouts.

Recent market sentiment has been significantly influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and mainstream coins are generally under pressure. PYTH, as a core component of the Solana ecosystem, possesses long-term value against the backdrop of a surge in on-chain data volume, but in the short term, caution is warranted regarding volatility risks due to insufficient liquidity. Remember: preserving capital in a volatile market is more important than chasing fluctuations.

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