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$BTC would vaporize ‘shorts’ above $107,000

$BTC researcher Axel Adler Jr. has noted a key technical pattern in Bitcoin’s current bull cycle, pointing to three recent instances of “compression”—a period of tightening price ranges—measured by rolling maximum/minimum over 180 days.

The chart indicates that this compression often signals an impending breakout, with historical precedent set by the 2017 rally when $BTC surged to $20,000 from $1,000.

Using Bollinger Bands alongside the price range suggests that volatility is building within the current cycle. The third compression phase in 2025 mirrors the 2017 cycle, where the Bitcoin halving events and supply shocks fueled retail FOMO, driving major price rallies.

From the vantage point of Bitcoin liquidation, over $3 billion in short leveraged positions are at risk of being liquidated if BTC price moves to $110,000 from $105,000. In contrast, it would take a drop to $94,612 to trigger a similar amount in long liquidations. This skew suggests a higher probability of the price pushing upward to chase liquidity on the sell-side rather than dropping lower.

Technical analyst Gert van Lagen noted a similar outlook, stating,

“A liquidation magnet is glowing above $107K, ready to vaporize billions in shorts. First, BTC soared on fear. Next, it'll rise on liquidations.”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.