This wave of manipulators is clearly betting big! On-chain data shows over 10,000 BTC escaping exchanges, indicating that the current market ecology is: as long as you're bold enough to dump, there will be big whales closing their eyes to take the hit. In simple terms, the manipulators are currently playing a game of 'spot is king', using real money to absorb all the floating chips in the market.
The core logic of big capital now boils down to three points:
Gold 2.0 narrative: The people on Wall Street are acting like crazy, shouting that BTC will replace gold's position as a store of value, and even the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China has started to endorse Bitcoin. Just look at the state of US debt now? A $36 trillion hole waiting to be filled; capital moguls have seen through it: the gold market is too small to hold it, while BTC's hard cap of 21 million is truly appealing.
Institutional accumulation window: The recent price fluctuations are not a correction at all; it’s the manipulators repeatedly washing the market in the $100,000-$110,000 range. The main force is now like a Pi Yao, only eating and not spitting out; the BTC inventory at exchanges is almost emptied. Institutions like BlackRock are stuffing money into ETFs every day, clearly to lock in liquidity.
Political scheme: The wise king and the sleeping king are now competing to endorse BTC, with state finances buying coins as their KPI. Behind this is the Americans' scheme to siphon global funds via BTC to fill the hole of US debt, and now even the Russians are secretly using BTC to bypass SWIFT sanctions. This is not just trading coins; it's clearly a financial weapon in the new Cold War era.
But we retail investors need to stay alert:
Don't be fooled by how lively the manipulators are now; when a whale wallet moves, it's often a transfer of thousands of BTC. These chips will eventually get dumped.
On-chain data shows that some funds have shifted to OTC, which could be a tactic of pulling up while selling off.
At this price, the market has already overshot the halving trend, and the RSI is overbought, so a spike could trigger contract explosions at any time.
I personally think the current behavior of the manipulators is much worse than in 2021. Before, it was a game of stock at exchanges; now it's like flipping the table, locking all the spot chips into cold wallets, forcing latecomers to take high positions.
In this situation, you either believe and invest to get to $200,000, or you get shaken out, with no middle option.
The best strategy for small investors right now is: hold onto spot, don't touch contracts, and keep an eye on the net outflow data from Coinbase. The moment the manipulators stop absorbing, that’s when they prepare to run.
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