Big G's TRUMP Coin Future Prediction: Speculation and risk coexist, keep an eye on these three signals + technical nuclear bomb warning!
Recently, the TRUMP coin's performance in May has been like a roller coaster, peaking at $15.31 and dropping to a low of $12.16. It is now hovering around $12.77. As a meme coin relying on Trump's popularity, what comes next? Long-term holders need to pay attention to these points:
Event-Driven Section: Three Time Bombs Counting Down
May 22 Holders Dinner: The Last Carnival?
The dinner hosted by Trump for the top 25 TRUMP coin holders is definitely the biggest speculation point recently. Previously, similar news led to a 50% single-day price surge, but be careful—after the dinner ends, the main funds may take the opportunity to sell. If no new positive news is released during the dinner, beware of the 'good news exhausted is bad news' script.
Hidden Bomb: 80% of tokens are still not unlocked!
The Trump Group holds 80% of TRUMP coins, unlocking 500,000 daily (worth about $5 million). If they sell off in bulk, the price could crash instantly. Moreover, the U.S. Senate is investigating Trump's crypto conflict of interest, and regulatory black swan could come at any time.
Technical Nuclear Bomb Warning: MACD + Bollinger Bands Death Triangle
Bollinger Bands Crocodile Mouth Formation
Current price of 12.78 is stuck above the middle Bollinger band (12.68), but the upper and lower bands are drastically narrowing (upper band 13.03/lower band 12.33), with a channel width of only 0.7, 47% narrower than on May 14! Historically, after three contractions, this coin has seen two surges of over 30% and one halving. Now the middle band is the bull-bear meat grinder; stabilizing above 13.0 will trigger a short squeeze, dropping below 12.6 will directly open the floodgates.
MACD performs an underwater false death cross
DIF (0.01) and DEA (0.02) are glued to the zero axis, with the bars shrinking to the thickness of a hair, which is a typical signal of dealer control. Note that on May 19, a similar tactic occurred: After a MACD death cross, there was suddenly a violent surge of 15%, specifically targeting technical stop-loss orders. The main cost is concentrated in the 12.4-12.8 range (look at the trading volume pile), and before the breakout, it’s all a show.
Bull-Bear Battle Script Rehearsal
Key Warning Level:
Bullish Nuclear Bomb: Volume breaks through 13.03 (upper band) + stabilizes for 15 minutes, chase up target directly aimed at previous high 15.4
Short-seller's Blade: Volume breaks below 12.33 (lower band), must trigger stop-loss tsunami below 12.0
Sneaky Flow Tactics: Play high sell low buy between 12.6-13.0, only eat profits drawn by the dealer
Big G's Survival Guide:
Short-term Daredevils: Bet on a spike to $14-15 before the dinner, but must stop loss if it drops below 12.33 Bollinger lower band
Long-term Players: Don't be fooled by Trump's tweets, 80% of the unlocked chips is the Sword of Damocles
Everyone pay attention: May 22 at 23:00 (end of dinner) + on-chain unlocking data + Senate regulatory trends
Current market conditions are like the river card round in Texas Hold'em, where the dealer has a straight flush but gives retail investors a MACD golden cross smoke bomb. Remember: when Bollinger Bands converge, the breakout direction often contradicts retail investors' intuition! $TRUMP #山寨季何时到来？
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