🔥 Global Financial Bomb ⚠️ Japanese Bond Market in Turmoil, May Trigger a New Round of Global Crisis!
The Japanese bond market is sending out global risk signals! The yield on its 40-year government bonds has surged to 3.445%, reaching a 20-year high, which not only indicates turmoil in the Japanese economy but may also trigger a chain reaction in global capital markets.
🇯🇵 Weakening Economy + Policy Dilemma = Turbulence in Bond Market
As the economy continues to shrink and inflation approaches 2%, Japan stands at a crossroads of potentially raising interest rates again. The Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan has publicly stated that if global trade policies continue to fluctuate, a rate hike may be imminent.
Meanwhile, Japan's debt has reached over 250% of GDP, the highest level in the world. The soaring yields mean a dramatic increase in debt servicing costs, leading to unprecedented fiscal pressure.
⚠️ US Credit Downgrade as the Trigger
Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating has caused risk-averse sentiment in the market to soar, with the yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds immediately rising to 1.47%. Investors are beginning to worry about government debt and political uncertainty.
🌏 Global Markets May Face Domino Effect
If foreign capital flows into Japanese bonds chasing high yields, the yen will appreciate significantly, impacting the export industry.
If funds flee, developing countries will face risks of currency depreciation, debt defaults, and capital flight.
Japan's pension funds and banking system also face significant damage, with consumption and the financial system potentially suffering a double blow.
🧨 Conclusion: Japan is not an Island, but the Eye of the Storm
The current unusual movements in the Japanese bond market are not just a problem for one country, but a direct warning to the global financial system. As the second largest bond market in the world experiences increased volatility, global investors, emerging economies, and banking systems should remain highly vigilant.
A debt storm that seems distant may be the starting point of a global spread.