👉 Updated fundamental and technical analysis
With the April halving already digested and markets showing mixed signals, one question dominates the minds of traders and investors:
👉 Can Bitcoin reach $150,000 in 2025?
To answer this, let's look at two key dimensions: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
🔸 Halving 2024: the spark of a new cycle
In April 2024, Bitcoin experienced its fourth halving, reducing block rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. This reduces daily issuance to just ~450 BTC, emphasizing its programmed scarcity.
📉 Lower supply → Historically has preceded strong bullish cycles (~12 to 18 months after halving).
🔸 Institutional demand at all-time highs
With the approval of multiple spot ETFs in the U.S., giants like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Ark Invest have already accumulated over $50 billion in BTC under management.
💼 This not only validates Bitcoin to traditional investors but also introduces sustained demand pressure on a limited supply asset.
🔸 Favorable macroeconomic context
If the U.S. Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates in the second half of 2025 (as several analysts anticipate), we could see:
Less attractiveness in bonds → more flows into alternative assets
BTC as "digital gold" against inflation and devaluation
This macro environment could be additional fuel for the rally.
📊 Technical Analysis
🔹 Key support: $56,000
After the halving, Bitcoin formed a clear accumulation zone between $56K and $61K, which now acts as structural support. As long as it stays above, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact.
🔹 Critical resistance: $73,000 (all-time high)
The previous ATH (All Time High) in the $73K zone acts as a psychological and technical resistance. A breakout with volume could:
🚀 Trigger a buying wave
📈 Drive the price to new target zones: $100K, and then $120K–$150K
🔹 Technical indicators
Daily/weekly RSI: Currently between 50 and 60 → neutral zone, with room to continue upward without being overbought
Volume: Increasing trend since April, indicating quiet accumulation
Moving averages (50D and 200D): aligned in a golden cross, supporting the bullish narrative
🔎 Conclusion
Bitcoin has all the ingredients to reach new all-time highs in 2025:
•Limited supply due to halving
•Growing institutional demand
•Favorable macroeconomic narrative
•Solid technical structure
Although volatility will remain present, the path to $100K–$150K seems more a matter of when rather than if.
📌 What do you think? Will we see $150,000 before the year ends?
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