I. Core Assessment of Short-term Trends

The key watershed of the night SOL market trend is locked at the price level of 161.9. The closing performance of the 1-hour level candlestick at this price will become the core basis for judging whether the short-term rebound can be initiated.

Bullish Counterattack Signal

If the 1-hour candlestick can effectively stabilize above 161.9, and the subsequent two 1-hour periods close above this price level, it means that the 1-hour level correction has ended, and bullish strength begins to dominate, a new round of rebound is expected to start, and the price may gradually test the resistance level upwards.

Bearish Dominance Signal

Conversely, if SOL price cannot consistently stay above 161.9 at the 1-hour level, it indicates a lack of short-term rebound momentum, and bears still firmly control market initiative. The trend is likely to continue its downward trajectory, entering a new round of deep retracement phase.

II. Distribution of Key Levels and Strategy Reference

(I) Upward Resistance Level

1. First Resistance Level: 164.8

- Technical Features: This position is the upper edge of the recent price fluctuation range, where a large number of trapped and profit-taking positions are gathered. When SOL price rises to this point, dual selling pressure will directly hinder short-term price increases, becoming the primary checkpoint that bulls must overcome.

2. Mid-term Resistance Level: 168.8

- Technical Features: It is in the overlapping area of key moving average resistance and Fibonacci key resistance levels, which forms strong pressure on price upward movement. To achieve an effective breakthrough, not only sufficient buying power is needed, but also the overall market bullish sentiment must be rising.

3. Trend Breakthrough Level: 174

- Technical Features: Once SOL price successfully stabilizes at this point, it will confirm its entry into a new upward trend channel, and the subsequent upward space is expected to be greatly opened, signaling that a new round of strong surge is about to arrive.

(II) Downward Support Level

If the 1-hour level fails to stabilize above 161.9, it is expected to trigger a new round of retracement, with the following support levels in order:

1. Primary Support Level: 159.5

- Technical Features: Support is formed by the dense convergence of short-term moving averages, and it is also an important psychological defense line that has been tested multiple times. It can buffer the impact of bearish downward pressure to a certain extent.

2. Secondary Support Level: 155.8

- Technical Features: As a strong support level formed by previous price lows, if this point is lost, market panic may quickly spread, triggering a larger-scale selling behavior, leading to accelerated price declines.

3. Strong Support Level: 150.8

- Technical Features: This point is in the support area of multiple cycle moving averages and is a key strategic position fiercely contested by both bulls and bears. Its gain or loss will directly affect the subsequent medium to long-term trend. Once it breaks, it may trigger a deep correction.

III. Summary

The core of the night SOL trend lies in the key point of 161.9 where the bulls and bears battle. If the price can effectively stabilize above this position, bulls are expected to challenge the resistance in the range of 164.8 - 174; if it cannot stabilize, then one must be wary of the risk of price retracing to the 159.5 - 150.8 area, with volatility being severe and full of uncertainty. It is recommended to closely monitor the changes in 1-hour candlestick patterns, strictly implement stop-loss and take-profit strategies, and reasonably control positions.$SOL #SOL走势