Big G's Probability: The Mathematical Mystique of Survival in the Crypto World

Brothers, the market manipulators play psychological games every day, and we need to counterattack using probability theory. Remember these three life-saving mantras; they are more useful than reading 100 analysis articles.

Recognize the Survivor's Fallacy

The wealth myths you see in contracts are 9 out of 10 edited images. Why? Those who truly make money have already quietly profited; only those who are liquidated show their trades every day seeking comfort.

Practical Application: When you see others flaunting profits, automatically cut it in half, then ask them why they don't speak up when they're losing.

Win Rate vs. Odds Game

Chasing the skyrocketing altcoins is like buying a lottery ticket.

Win rate 10% and 90% go to zero.

Odds of 100 times—what if you hit?

Investing in Bitcoin regularly is like running a supermarket.

Win rate 80%; given enough time, you will make money.

Odds of 2 to 3 times; steady and consistent.

Mantra: If you want to gamble with altcoins, hold Bitcoin for retirement.

The Third Strategy: The Counterintuitive Moves that Manipulators Fear

After three consecutive wins, you must reduce your position; the manipulators are waiting for you to increase your bets.

After a liquidation, turn off your machine for three days; when emotions run high, the win rate drops by 60%.

Don’t rush to buy after a 50% drop; wait for the second 50% drop for a doubled win rate.

Here's the Key

We are currently in a volatile market; remember this set of golden data:

If Bitcoin trades sideways for more than 3 days, the probability of a trend change is greater than 70%.

After a collective crash of altcoins, the probability of a rebound within 48 hours is about 55%.

If the liquidation volume on exchanges suddenly increases by 200%, the win rate for counter-trading goes up.

Brothers, there are no 100% answers in the crypto world, only varying probabilities. Before placing a trade next time, ask yourself: Is the win rate for this operation over 50%? Are the odds worth the risk?

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