$BTC $ETH Stabilize the whole scene, BONK and DOGE are just supporting roles (Night Review 2025-05-18)
During the day, I said:
"This is not volatility, but a restructuring of rhythm."
Looking again at night, it increasingly resembles a solid argument.
🎯 BTC & ETH: The volatility is an illusion, the main forces are writing the script
On the surface, it's a sideways market, but in reality, there are undercurrents:
Options trading has significantly decreased (BTC -68%, ETH declined simultaneously), the main players are collectively on 'silent mode', expecting a window of opportunity;
The positions are being restructured, the long-short ratio is rising, but liquidations are still frequent, clearly a case of 'changing people';
BTC is stuck in a sideways market under pressure from previous highs, while ETH has broken but still holds the lower Bollinger band, both are 'hanging' at critical points.
This is not a lack of direction in the market, but rather that direction is brewing.
🐶 BONK & DOGE: They have risen, but not worth chasing
Today, the meme coins moved, and many thought, "The opportunity has come."
I looked at the data and just want to say: don't rush.
BONK:
Up 10%, but funds are still flowing out;
Positions haven't significantly increased, the main players haven't returned;
More of a stop-loss profit taking on shorts + emotional rebound.
DOGE:
Slightly up 4%, but CVD is still negative;
Order depth has reversed to negative, indicating that the main players are still suppressing;
In short: the retail buying is not the main upward wave.
📌 Why do I watch BTC / ETH every day?
Because these two determine everything.
BTC is the metronome; if it breaks key support, the entire market will follow down;
ETH is the barometer; stabilizing the structure allows meme coins to have a chance.
Watching meme coins without watching the main coins is like watching a movie only for the supporting characters; if the main character hasn't finished their line, you applaud early.
✅ My advice remains:
Do not chase rebounds, only act on structural confirmations;
Wait for the market to speak, rather than guessing what it wants to say.