“BTC/USD at critical weekly supply! 🚨 Will bulls break through or are we heading for a pullback to demand? Trade the zones, not the noise.”
🔍 BTC/USD DETAILED STUDY – 18 MAY 2025
🔹 1. Multi-Timeframe Overview
Timeframes Used:
Daily: Structure is in consolidation, price is inside the weekly supply zone (SZ).
4-Hour (4H): Also showing consolidation, minor reactions within the supply.
1-Hour (1H): Tight range-bound movement, low volatility, price stabilizing around $103,500.
🔹 2. Key Zones Identified
📈 Weekly Supply Zone (Tested)
Zone Range: ~$102,000 to ~$104,500
Price is currently trading within this zone.
Multiple rejections suggest it's a tested supply, so caution for long positions unless a breakout occurs.
📉 Weekly Demand Zone (Tested)
Zone Range: ~$94,870 to ~$97,260
Strong base, previously acted as a reversal zone.
Ideal long entries can be considered here with confirmation.
🟪 4-Hour Demand Zones (Lower Levels)
Additional zones marked around ~$88,000–$89,000
Should only be considered if price sharply breaks down below weekly demand.
🔹 3. Price Action Analysis
Current Price: ~$103,500
Recent Behavior:
Price attempted multiple times to break above $104,000, failed each time.
Consolidation in the supply zone suggests indecision; market waiting for catalyst.
Current Structure:
Forming a potential bullish structure (accumulation) just under supply.
If breakout happens with volume, could lead to ATH breakout.
🔹 4. Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case:
Break and hold above $104,500 (weekly SZ top) with volume and strong candle body.
Immediate targets: $107,000 → New ATH
Entry only on confirmation breakout + retest
❌ Bearish Case:
Price fails to break supply, drops below $102,000
Possible downside targets:
Weekly Demand ($97,260 – $94,870)
In extreme case, retest of $89,000
📌 Trade Plan Guidelines
Buy only on demand zones (with confirmation)
Sell only on supply zones (with proper signal)
Don't chase the market in no-man's land (currently near middle of the weekly SZ)
Ideal entry point is either:
Breakout from consolidation
Pullback to demand
📋 RULES TO FOLLOW:
Strictly follow Stop Loss (SL)
Use proper Risk:Reward (R:R), ideally ≥ 1:2
Wait for clear confirmation (candle pattern or breakout structure)
Avoid overtrading inside consolidation zones