Date: May 18, 2025
Current Price: 12.75 USDT
Core View: Shrinking oscillation is nearing its end, 'accumulation + bottom divergence + bottom resonance' three-fold structure ignites the rebound fuse.
[1. Daily Level Technical Analysis]: Downward probing stops, bearish ammunition exhausted
K Line Structure:
Yesterday closed with a small bullish candle, today again tested the support around 12.6 without breaking, showing bullish resistance;
Forms a typical 'air platform sideways + shrinking cross K' shape, a strong signal before a trend change;
Moving Average System:
EMA7, EMA13, EMA25 are entangled in a sideways manner, price is close to multiple moving averages entangled area, a prelude to the direction about to be chosen;
EMA200 support is clearly located at 11.94, forming a daily safe bottom;
BOLL Channel:
Significant narrowing, BOLL lower band support at 12.39 has not been broken for 5 consecutive days, belonging to typical bottom guarding oscillation;
MACD:
Green bar momentum is shrinking, DIF and DEA are approaching the zero axis, easily forming a golden cross, possessing reversal potential;
RSI:
RSI is hovering in the 35~40 range, in a low position accumulation area, may rise and break through at any time.
Daily Conclusion: Bearish forces have basically been released, 'moving average entanglement + MACD bottom divergence + BOLL touching bottom' creates an excellent environment for building long positions.
[2. Four Hour Technical Analysis]: Triangle convergence is at its end, critical breakthrough is imminent
Structure Trend:
Presenting a descending wedge convergence structure, price continuously tests the 12.6 support without effectively breaking down;
Moving Average System:
EMA13 and EMA25 form a platform structure, EMA50 is pressing down but the angle is easing, indicating a weakening of downward momentum;
Bollinger Bands Indicator:
Bollinger Bands are oscillating between middle and lower bands, price is being suppressed, but the bottom is continuously rising, showing a clear 'higher low structure';
MACD:
Fast and slow lines are close to the 0 axis, multiple attempts at a golden cross have failed, but repeated bottom building means the time for an upward move is near;
KDJ:
J value has just turned upwards, indicating that short-term bulls are beginning to attempt a counterattack.
Four Hour Conclusion: In a typical 'dusk structure before a trend change', downward momentum is exhausted, and upward breakout accumulation is sufficient, short-term target aims at the 13.05~13.35 area.
[3. One Hour Technical Analysis]: Bottom construction is complete, low buying is about to profit
K Line Shape:
A right-side higher low structure has formed, belonging to the 'small W bottom rebound shape';
Moving Average Arrangement:
EMA7 crosses EMA25, bullish arrangement is beginning to show;
EMA50 and EMA200 are close to closing, once the volume increases, it will trigger a rapid rise;
MACD:
An obvious low-level golden cross signal has appeared, red bars are starting to show;
Bollinger Bands:
Current price is running above the middle band, Bollinger Bands are about to open up, and a breakout momentum may occur at any time.
One Hour Conclusion: Price has completed the accumulation structure, stabilizing above 12.8 will confirm the upward trend initiation, short-term target looks to 13.2~13.35.
[Practical Operation Suggestions]
Opening Position: 12.72
First Zhi Ying: 12.92
Second Zhi Ying: 13.11
Zhi Loss Position: 12.52
