On weekends, the big pie remains stable. Will there be a surprise attack on the weekend? Let's look at the data and make a blind guess:

gamma ex data shows that the current price is in the negative gamma zone, with the 110K position being the most concentrated, suggesting that the bulls still have ambitions to push higher. From the iv curve, both ends are rising, indicating that there is still divergence between bulls and bears. In this emotional state, both rises and falls are possible, so it is not advisable to go all in.

The iv of options across various maturities is showing a downward trend, and the vrp is also starting to decline, but it remains positive, with sellers still in the dominant position. If buyers want to bet on large fluctuations, it might be better to wait a little longer. Next week, 5.19, might be a good day for an early bet.

This year, the path to interest rate cuts is long and obstructed, but it will surely be reached. The risk of a recession in the US economy has always been a gray rhino, and the depreciation of the dollar is the only way to quench thirst by drinking poison. Therefore, this year, both the big pie and Ethereum are bound to surge.

By firmly believing in this, one can eliminate all distractions and noise, reaching the other shore directly. Wishing everyone prosperity~ $btc $eth