Price Prediction for Bitcoin After Halving 2024: Will 2025 Be the Golden Year for BTC?

The Bitcoin halving in April 2024 has officially occurred, reducing the mining reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. History has shown that after each halving event, BTC often experiences a strong price increase. So what awaits investors in 2025?

1. Expert Perspectives

a. Tim Draper (Venture Capitalist):

Draper once predicted BTC would reach 250,000 USD, and he still maintains this belief after halving. He believes that increasing scarcity along with global BTC acceptance will push prices to unprecedented levels.

b. PlanB – Creator of the Stock-to-Flow model:

Based on the S2F model, PlanB believes that BTC could reach around 288,000 USD in the post-halving cycle, with the most feasible scenario being 100,000 - 150,000 USD in 2025.

c. Arthur Hayes (Former CEO of BitMEX):

Hayes predicts that BTC could reach 200,000 USD if the Fed continues to print money and large cash flows from ETF funds continue to pour into the market.

d. Standard Chartered Bank:

This bank provides an optimistic prediction that BTC could reach 150,000 USD by the end of 2025, thanks to strong institutional demand and supply pressure after halving.

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2. Factors Supporting the Uptrend

• Decreased supply: Halving cuts the amount of BTC released each day in half, creating downward supply pressure.

• Spot ETF: Cash flows from ETF funds like BlackRock, Fidelity are expected to continue pouring into BTC.

• Global inflation & concerns about the USD: BTC is increasingly seen as “digital gold” against inflation.

• Historical cycles: Strong rallies often occur 12-18 months after halving.

For example:

• Halving 2012 → ATH in 2013.

• Halving 2016 → ATH in 2017.

• Halving 2020 → ATH in 2021.

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3. Risks Investors Need to Consider

• Tightening monetary policy: If the Fed raises interest rates again, it may affect cash flows into risky assets.

• Regulatory regulations: Tightened policies from the SEC, EU, or China may create negative pressure.

• Sell-off from large wallets (whales): Sometimes the market is significantly affected by the profit-taking activities of large investors.

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4. Average Prediction for 2025 Source/Experts

Predicted BTC price for 2025

Tim Draper

250,000 USD

PlanB (S2F model)

100,000 - 288,000 USD

Arthur Hayes

200,000 USD

Standard Chartered Bank

150,000 USD

Community summary from Reddit & X

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Conclusion

2025 has the potential to become the “golden season” for Bitcoin. However, the market is still highly volatile and risks always accompany profits. Investors need to have a capital management strategy, avoid FOMO, and continuously update macro information, cash flows, and actions of large funds.