Hello everyone, I am Ni Ni-Cry.
Market trends do not rely on guessing; strategies must be practical. I will analyze trends and lay out crypto ~

Spot strategies:Explore potential coins, seize low-position opportunities, build positions reasonably, and wait for the flowers to bloom.
Contract layout:Observe market direction, unlock long and short signals, and take profit and stop loss steadily.

Market Analysis:

Bitcoin:
Bitcoin started to pull back after failing to break 104,000, with a low point around 102,600; today we continue to watch for a pullback to 102,000. If support fails, it will form a double top structure, with a short-term expectation to reach 99,500. If the support holds, it will continue to consolidate around 102,000.

Altcoins:
Yesterday's expectation for a pullback to 2,580 was met, and a sell signal formed on the hourly level, with a continued pullback expected to 2,500.

Altcoins:
Altcoins have started to adjust alongside mainstream coins, but this is a normal pullback; don't get shaken out, continue to hold ~

Today's Share:

ondo: current price 0.99, stop loss 0.94, target 1.15
Currently in a bull market pullback phase, showing signs of oversold recovery.
There is a high probability of a bottom rebound; you can start to position yourself ~

The token analysis I share reflects my personal views, aimed at providing references for potential upward targets. All mentioned take-profit/stop-loss points are personal strategies. Investment carries risks; please make rational decisions based on your risk tolerance. The market is unpredictable; let's grow together ~

Today's Market Highlights:

1. Trump: I am a loyal fan of cryptocurrency.

2. Binance Alpha launched sudeng (HIPPO).

3. Crypto KOL bought STARTUP half an hour ago and called out; recently, there has been a short-term rise of over 40 times.

4. LAUNCHCOIN continues to rise, setting new market cap highs; other ICM concept coins generally pull back.

5. The U.S. and the West: Trump's involvement in cryptocurrency complicates legislation, but stablecoin and market structure agreements are still expected to pass before August.

6. JPMorgan completes its first tokenized treasury bond public trade using the ONDO public ledger.

7. The Ethereum Foundation launches a "trillion-dollar" security initiative.

8. The British Museum places Dürer's (Rhino) on the Bitcoin blockchain.

9. The Central Bank of Brazil implements strict regulations on Ethereum transfers.

10. a16z leads a $7 million seed round for KYD Lab, promoting blockchain ticketing innovation.

11. Due to Telegram's influence, Hao Wang announces the cessation of operations.

12. Arca analyst: The revenue rescue of pump.fun's creator is actually paid by the community.

13. The total market cap of Believe ecosystem tokens surpasses $450 million, with total trading volume exceeding $1.4 billion.

14. MetaMask co-founder: the team is currently considering launching a token for the wallet.

15. The dominance of Pump.fun is facing new threats, with daily "graduate" tokens about to launch.

Let's talk about today's market focus:

1. The U.S. Democratic Party calls for an investigation into Trump's "suspicious activities" in crypto investments.
Commentary: Involves Justin Sun and Binance investment matters ~

2. Crypto fintech company Antalpha's U.S. stock debut surged 70%, triggering a trading halt.
Commentary: Money in the U.S. stock market is easy to make ~

3. The U.S. dollar index DXY rose nearly 30 points in the short term, currently at 101.05. Commentary: Trump wants to win tariffs but also wants a strong dollar ~

4. A certain whale address sold 197.1 WBTC last night; commentary: whales are also making short trades ~

5. The Federal Reserve Vice Chair: Current policy rates are in a good position, tariffs may lead to rising inflation; commentary: still being stubborn, holding out for Trump ~

6. JPMorgan completes its first tokenized treasury bond public trade using the ONDO public ledger. Commentary: ONDO's fundamentals are good ~

7. The U.S. has adjusted additional tariffs on China at 00:01 on May 14 (Eastern Time). Commentary: It looks like a well-planned farce ~

8. The Ethereum Foundation launches a "trillion-dollar" security initiative. Commentary: Doing more practical things can solve all problems ~

9. Strategy: I believe Bitcoin will definitely break a million dollars within 10 years, making the company the top global listed company by market cap. Commentary: Time is a butcher's knife; let's see again in 10 years ~

10. Trump: I am a loyal fan of cryptocurrency.
Commentary: Trump has won big ~

11. BSC's on-chain trading volume increased by 145% in the past week, surpassing Ethereum to rank second.
Commentary: Recently, Binance's on-chain activities have been very active ~

12. The total market cap of cryptocurrencies surpasses $3.5 trillion.
Commentary: The pie will only get bigger ~

13. Nebraska passes new legislation to increase Bitcoin mining difficulty.
Commentary: This is actually a disguised way of collecting protection fees ~

14. Buffett talks about stepping down as CEO: Time cannot be regained, but in the face of market panic, the sword remains sharp; commentary: Buffett's investment philosophy is respectable ~

A practical guide to trading cycles in the crypto space:

1. For intraday trading, look at 5/10M charts, following recent trends.

2. For short-term trading, look at 1H/2H charts, holding positions for 1-3 days to follow daily K trends.

3. For medium-term trading, look at 12H/daily K charts, holding positions for over 2 weeks.

ps: In special situations, use the 1H stop loss to follow the daily K trend ~ If you don't know the upcoming trends in the crypto space, study its liquidity. If liquidity decreases, it indicates that the frequency of trading and increasing positions has decreased, then the subsequent trend will be hierarchical. Every bull market's arrival is driven by wave speculation, and this method is also suitable for those who enjoy holding coins for the long term ~

Today's core highlights:

Bitcoin volatility increases: Bitcoin quickly rebounded to around $104,000 after dipping to $103,000 during the day. Although the RSI indicator shows short-term overbought risks, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $880 million in a single week, indicating that institutional funds are continuing to increase their positions, providing support for long-term trends.

Stablecoin regulation process accelerates: Both parties in the U.S. have rarely united to promote stablecoin legislation, with market expectations that the bill may land before August. The Trump family has recently made a high-profile layout in the crypto business, which has sparked controversy, but the team insists on increasing their Bitcoin holdings as a strategic reserve.

Ethereum leads the charge: This week, Ethereum's price soared by 42%, breaking the $2,600 mark. The Layer2 ecosystem exploded (e.g., large-scale adoption of chain game projects) and institutional funds flowed in, driving the price increase, and on-chain data shows that stablecoin issuance surged by 51%.

Meme coins and regulatory struggle: Trump publicly declared his identity as a "crypto supporter," driving up the popularity of related concept coins, but voices in American society are also increasing calling for an investigation into his crypto trades, with policy uncertainty remaining a market concern.

Overview of leading patterns in various altcoin tracks:

1. Ethereum ecosystem: $ETHFI takes the lead.
2. ETH Meme: $PEPE is still a standout.
3. Solana Meme: $PNUT and $MOODENG compete as rivals.
4. AI track: $VIRTUAL leads the charge.
5. BSC Meme: $MUBARAK rises unexpectedly.
6. New public chain camp: $SUI firmly holds the top position.
7. NFT segment: $PENGU rises as a dark horse due to liquidity play.

Must-read for the evening:

Challenges and strategies in trading: from defensive to offensive systematic thinking.

1. Front-load your thinking and layout in advance. Trading is never about thinking of solutions when the problem arises but preparing a plan beforehand. In most cases, the market develops as expected, and everyone is happy; once encountering small or black swans, you must have the ability to respond and avoid jumping out.

2. Beyond technical judgment, strategy is the moat. In trading, technical forecasts are the norm, and low-probability events can happen. Therefore, strategy and risk control are your true protective umbrella. If technical judgments are wrong, the strategy must hold.

3. The test of human nature is far more deadly than losses. The next most difficult phase is: "Seeing others make money is worse than losing money yourself." When others stop losses and turn around, and your coins are still falling, anxiety and FOMO emotions will quickly surge, directly leading to a series of wrong decisions.

4. Don’t be afraid of making mistakes; knowing how to adjust positions is crucial. Blindly going all in or not being able to recover from losses are common traps in trading. What is tested here is your ability to "adjust positions according to the trend": identify strong sectors, allocate reasonably, and grasp the rhythm, which is far more effective than stubbornly holding onto one coin.

5. The market is never short of paradoxes; what it lacks is understanding. Take BNB as an example: when it was $500, no one dared to buy; when it rose to $650, they feared buying high. When it pulled back, they were still afraid of buying wrong. This kind of contradiction of "fear of missing out on the rise, fear of buying wrong on the drop" actually stems from: not understanding the trend, not knowing whether it is a rebound or recovery now.

6. The essence of trends is not short-term fluctuations but structural changes. True trend signals include: continuous rising lows, decreasing volumes on downtrends, and breakout volumes surpassing key resistance lines. Understanding these will prevent you from being swayed by short-term fluctuations. Continuing to short in an upward trend is going against the trend and self-destructive.

The market is a game of human nature; the traps set by the main forces never show directly. The main forces create inertia thinking by changing the space, then suddenly appear. Candlestick charts are built with real money; learn to identify the main force's layout, and don't let emotions guide you.

Summary: The market waits for no one; only by maintaining focus, continuous learning, understanding trends, and preparing action plans can you ride the wave when the market arrives, rather than panicking when time is of the essence. The ultimate victory in trading is not predicting the future but managing risk well and mastering the rhythm.

Today's trading summary:

As long as you master this method, subsequent trades can earn you an additional 5%-20%.

1. Don't be greedy; first pick one or two coins to play.

There are as many cryptocurrencies in the crypto space as stars, with dozens or even hundreds. However, we small retail investors have limited energy and money; don't think about trading everything. It's best to focus on 1-2 coins, at most 3.

2. When things are wildly up or down, don’t act impulsively.

When the market surges, do you think the coin will double, and your mind is just thinking of quickly charging in and buying? Conversely, when the market crashes, you feel like it's over and want to sell quickly! In such times, being flustered easily leads to foolish actions. I suggest that when the ups and downs are too crazy, don’t act; calm down and take a look again.

3. Don't put all your money in; keep your mindset steady.

When trading coins, don’t go all in; it's best to keep 30%-50% of your funds on hand. This way, if it drops, you can average down, and if it rises, you can add some. If too much money is at stake, you will be happy when it rises but panic when it drops. When the mindset collapses, all decisions become distorted; leave yourself some room.

4. Earn enough and run; don’t be greedy; accept losses.

When trading coins, set a target for yourself, such as selling after making 20%. Don’t care whether it goes up or down after that. Many people want to earn a little more and end up getting stuck. Greed is human nature; you have to control yourself. When in loss, set a bottom line, like cutting losses at 10%; don’t hold on stubbornly. Many trading platforms can set automatic buying and selling; set the price and leave it to the computer; don't make decisions at the moment your hand shakes.

5. Learn some technical skills; don’t rely on others.

Many people in the crypto space are not from financial backgrounds; they might be programmers or homebodies wanting to make some money but know nothing. Instead of listening to others ramble, it’s better to spend a few days learning technical analysis, like looking at candlesticks and moving averages. Having a foundation in your understanding is better than anything.

ps: In trading, the worst thing is to be led by emotions; making money is the key ~

Core Circle

🔹 Spot or Strategy
Led by Zhi Shen's second-level market focus, dedicated to discovering and identifying potential targets in advance, providing stable trading combination plans.
🔹 Cooperative Trading
Professional traders provide real-time trading signals, accurately capturing market fluctuations and offering intraday trading strategies.

🔹 1-on-1
Personalized risk management plan + priority trading tips + systematic technical training, helping traders achieve professional levels.

When the wind is right, you will naturally break through the waves; with heavy burdens ahead, you need to ride fast!