2025.5.15 Cryptocurrency Market News Interpretation

The tax cuts between China and the U.S. have already been confirmed, and Japan and South Korea are likely to follow suit. However, the market has become somewhat numb to these news items. The real focus will be on when the Federal Reserve will signal its next move.

Capital Flow

• Bitcoin ETF consumed $319 million in a single day, while the aunt made $63.5 million in revenue.

• Trump’s Twitter suddenly turned him into a crypto influencer, boasting about being a "die-hard crypto fan" while promoting AI; the politician's antics are getting wilder.

Venture Capital Complaints

A big shot from 10T online exposes the truth: now every imitation project is inflating its valuation (starting from 50 times revenue). Just presenting a PPT can raise funds, and the token price is hardly related to the project — but isn't this the traditional strategy in the crypto world?

Market Forecast

• The weekly MACD golden cross is emerging, this scenario is very similar to the sharp decline after May 19, 2021. Even if it breaks the previous high, it might easily experience a top divergence. If it surges to $110,000 to $120,000, it is advisable to exit while trading.

• Short term support zone to watch is $99,000 - $100,000. After five consecutive weekly gains, a breather is completely normal.

• The aunt has reached the target of 25XX this week and might pull back to 24XX next. The last defense line is between 2350-2400.

Imitation Project Situation

• The new coin NPXC is about to be launched, with an initial circulation of 170 million coins. If the market cap holds at $100 million, just mindlessly invest in the new coin.

• The zoo concept projects are collectively playing dead. NEIRO, this volatile coin, is moving stylishly — after a price shakeout, it surged violently. You can steal a position near the 5-day moving average, but remember, volatile coins can turn harshly; if it breaks the 10-day moving average, quickly pull out.

• Old dog’s advice: It’s better to earn a few points less than to be stuck at the mountain top as decoration. The big players are waiting for retail investors to go all in and then shut the door to let the dogs out.

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