[⚖️🔥] $ETH weekly fluctuations – Psychological test or actual adjustment?

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[📊] MARKET OVERVIEW:

• #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 is stabilizing at the 2,580 range after a strong surge to the 2,640 range.

• $BTC [🧊] has not yet escaped the sideways range of 102,000–104,000, showing slight signs of weakness on the H1–H4 frames.

• RSI on H1–4H–1D [⚖️] has all exited the overbought zone, indicating the market is catching its breath after a hot rally.

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1. [🟢 POSITIVE SCENARIO – PROBABILITY ~30%]

ETH bounces from EMA34 (~2,475)

✅ RSI stabilizes above 50

✅ BTC maintains price above 102,000

→ ETH may retest the 2,620–2,640 range [🚀]

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2. [⏸️ SIDEWAYS SCENARIO – PROBABILITY ~50%]

ETH fluctuates within the 2,475 – 2,600 range

⏳ RSI remains flat, buying pressure weakens

⏳ BTC lacks clear catalyst

→ Accumulation sideways phase before a new wave [📉📈]

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3. [🔻 NEGATIVE SCENARIO – PROBABILITY ~20%]

ETH breaks below the EMA34 → down to the 2,420–2,360 range or lower

⚠ BTC breaks down below 102,000

⚠ Selling volume increases, RSI plummets across the board

→ A true “shakeout” [💀]

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[🧭] STRATEGIC PRICE ZONE:

• Strong support [🟢]:

  - 2,475 (EMA34 4H)

  - 2,360 – 2,420 (Fibo + EMA89)

• Resistance [🔴]:

  - 2,600 – 2,640 (Fibo 0.786 + nearest strong sell zone)

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[💡] SHORT SUMMARY:

• BTC is stagnant, ETH is affected accordingly [🧊].

• Short-term fluctuations are technical adjustments, not yet confirming a reversal [⚠️].

• Scenario 2 (sideways) has the highest probability [⏸️], need to closely monitor price reactions around 2,475.