$ETH – Short-term ceiling reached, will there be a “market shakeout” before continuing to soar?

(Current price of #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥: ~2,580 USDT, down ~3.7% after testing the resistance area of 2,739 USDT)

SCENARIO 1 – Light retracement, followed by the next wave increase

🟢 Probability: 35%

⬇️ ETH technically retraces to the range of 2,456 – 2,425

🔁 RSI on H1/H4 timeframe cools down, does not break the D1 uptrend

🚀 Wave 5 rebounds to the range of 2,650 – 2,700 if BTC stays above 102k

SCENARIO 2 – Deep correction, creating a nice accumulation zone

🟠 Probability: 50%

📉 Strong shakeout, falls to 2,306 – 2,140 (Fibo 0.5–0.618)

📊 Daily RSI gradually declines, no divergence

🛒 Sideways for a few sessions before increasing again

SCENARIO 3 – Trend breaks, falls back to old lows

🔴 Probability: 15%

⚠️ BTC breaks below 100k, ETH falls to 1,886 – 1,675

💣 Breaks EMA D1 trend, selling volume increases

🧲 Signs of ending short-term uptrend

In summary:

#Ethereum is in a “technical shakeout” zone after a strong rebound. Prefer to wait for a technical retracement to re-enter, unless BTC experiences a major event that triggers scenario 3.