Rock-paper-scissors is the most intuitive "predictive game": when I was in elementary school, I would first "announce my move" and then deduce the prediction level based on the opponent's personality—I would say "buns", and if you guessed I would play "rock", you would play "scissors", while I might predict another layer and play "paper"... This psychological game can loop infinitely until the moment of action.

The financial market is no different: everyone is trying to predict the direction of "bullish/bearish", yet they forget the counter-logic that "when bullish is fully realized, it becomes bearish, and when bearish is fully realized, it becomes bullish".

When the market becomes a large rock-paper-scissors arena, what is measured is never "one-way reasoning", but rather a multi-layered understanding of human nature's game.