Don't get tangled up in whether the altcoins in your portfolio can rise 10 times, because most altcoins won't rise 10 times.

Many people are now looking at altcoins that have risen, and they immediately want to earn 10 times or 20 times, saying things like how the last bull market was and how they missed out for various reasons or didn't hold on. They fantasize about what would have happened if they had held on, saying things like 'recommend me a 10x coin and I will definitely hold it.' I really laugh at this, and they take their experiences from the last round into this round; it won't kill you, but I know some will bring up the recently tenfold rising Hippo Moodeng to argue, saying 'Look, Hippo has risen 10 times.' What I want to say is that in any industry, there are periods of dividends and periods of saturation; these are unavoidable.

Looking back at every round of BTC bull and bear markets, it is also clear to see. In the 2017 bull market, BTC peaked at 19k, dropped to 3k during the bear market, then the 2020 bull market started, reaching a peak of 69k in 2021, rising more than 20 times from the bear market bottom of 3k and about 3.6 times from the last peak of 19k. Looking at this round, if 15k is the bear market low, the bull market peak is generally seen at 150k-200k, rising more than 10 times from the bear market bottom and more than 3 times from the last peak of 69k. So what about the next round? The specific point and rise are unknown, but a rise lower than this round is highly probable.

The same reasoning applies to altcoins. In the 2017 bull market, hundredfold coins were everywhere, and tenfold coins were abundant. In the 2021 bull market, hundredfold coins were relatively rare, while tenfold coins were more common. Therefore, in this round of the bull market, it is relatively reasonable for excellent altcoins to rise tenfold and for junk altcoins to rise 2-3 times. Don’t think you can buy Hippo Moodeng; most people wouldn’t even dare to invest heavily even if they bought it.

In 'Capital,' there is a term called 'low-hanging fruit,' which means just that.

Any market/industry is like an apple tree.

The tree is laden with apples, hanging down.

At the beginning, everyone can reach the low-hanging fruit and can easily pick one.

Slowly, the lower fruits get picked clean.

Gradually, the middle fruits are also picked clean, leaving only those at the top.

You need to be able to climb up to reach them, but even fewer people can climb trees.

Low-hanging fruit represents the period of dividends, where everyone has a chance to grab an apple; only the low-hanging fruit belongs to the ordinary people.

The fruits at the top of the tree do not belong to ordinary people; they belong only to the geniuses.

Face reality and don't fantasize.