Friends who have been trading cryptocurrencies for many years without making 1 million, let me give you a piece of advice, remember these key points below, and if it doesn't work, come find me!
🌟 Core Strategy | Capture the Trend
1️⃣ Trend Following: Only engage in right-side trading
Breakout Signal: Enter when the price breaks above the downward trend line or previous high, win rate increases to 65%+! SOL exploded 130% within two weeks after breaking $38.1 in August 2021, LTC increased by 160% in one month after breaking the trend line.
Moving Average System: EMA144/169 moving average group used for determining trends in periods of 4 hours or more, stabilizing above the moving average = strong bullish signal.
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2️⃣ Volume-Price Coordination: Identify false moves
True breakout requires trading volume ≥ 1.5 times the average volume of the previous 3 days! SOL dropped 12% after a false breakout due to insufficient volume.
On-chain data assistance: When large transfers to exchanges suddenly decrease by more than 40%, the probability of major players accumulating increases, and a 3-5 day rising window opens.
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🚨 Pitfall Avoidance Guide
1️⃣ Leverage Forbidden Zone
Novices ≤ 3x, veterans ≤ 10x! In extreme situations (like before a Federal Reserve meeting), directly close leverage; in the case of BTC pinning and liquidation, players using 50x leverage lost everything.
Liquidation Formula: Contract Quantity = Net Value × 2% / (Entry Price - Stop Loss Price), limit single loss to ≤ 5% of principal.
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2️⃣ Emotional Counterattack
A certain coin trending + over 50% rise in 24h? Immediately stop at 50%! The probability of a pullback in the next 24h is 82% (Luna's social media popularity surged 300% before its crash).
Fear and Greed Index: <20 signals major players buying the dip, >75 warns of a potential top (the index touched bottom at 18 in March, followed by a 23% rebound in BTC).
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Tool Library | Avoid Detours
TradingView: Custom EMA144/169 channels + MACD divergence alerts to capture trend turning points.
CoinGlass: Real-time monitoring of perpetual contract funding rates, when the rate > 0.1% = precursor to a long/short reversal.
Arkham Intel: Track significant whale address activities, high-frequency small transfers = warning of exit (referencing a certain ETH whale liquidation).
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Summary
Contracts are not gambling, but a probability game + disciplined practice! Remember:
🔥 Trend judgment > Frequent operations
🔥 Risk control > Illusions of huge profits
🔥 Tool assistance > Blind confidence
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