From Seven Liquidations to Earning a Million: The Blood and Tears Algorithm of a Rolling Survivor
In the corpse mountain and blood sea of the futures market, I exchanged seven liquidations for a brutal understanding: rolling positions are both a compound interest nuclear bomb and a self-destruction switch.
During the crazy bull market cycle of 2023, my account experienced a magical transformation.
22,000 USDT inflated to 530,000 USDT within three months, only to be blown down to 8,000 USDT by a needle at dawn.
Behind the final outcome of 2.08 million USDT lies three survival rules bought with real money.
Fatal Cognitive Reconstruction
1. Quantum Entanglement of Adding Positions and Resistance to Loss
Of those traders who died in SHIB rolling positions in April 2023, 90% made the same mistake: packaging "holding on to wait for a recovery" as "trend adding positions."
My survival formula includes three death coefficients:
Volatility Compensation Factor (1.8 times the day's ATR)
Black Swan Coefficient (referencing Deribit Fear Index)
Position Erosion Rate (checking margin decay speed every hour)
When all three trigger the warning line, the "Tail-cutting Protocol" must be activated, allowing me to preserve my core position during the death spiral of Luna 2.0 on May 19.
2. Paradoxical Solution for Dynamic Stop Loss
Traditional stop-loss in rolling positions is chronic suicide.
The "Momentum Absorption Model" I developed monitors:
① Order Book Thickness Change Rate
② Perpetual Funding Rate Divergence
③ Futures Open Interest Displacement
3. Cognitive Layer Arbitrage Trap
On the night my account broke 500,000 USDT, I found myself starting to calculate the down payment for a villa using my profit line.
This is a death signal. The truly top-tier rolling traders are doing "Cognitive Hedging."
For every 20% profit, forcibly transfer 3% to a cold wallet.
Set up an "Emotional Circuit Breaker Mechanism": immediately stop trading when sleep is less than 5 hours for three consecutive days.
When profits exceed ten times the principal, value anchoring must be completed through physical gold.
Dark Forest Survival Manual
Liquidation Retrospection System
After each liquidation, three actions must be completed:
Calculate "Death Acceleration" (time taken from peak profit to liquidation)
Draw "Liquidity Evaporation Map" (depth changes at key time nodes)
Record "Self-Deception Index" (number of excuses not to reduce positions)
If you don’t understand cryptocurrencies yourself, it is recommended to follow the Abbot!
Whether it’s fresh goods or harmony! Success is not just based on luck; choice may outweigh effort.