Survival Notes in the Crypto World: Steady Rules from 50,000 to 20,000,000
1. Insights from the Late-Night Trading Room
When the blue light of the screen hit my face at four in the morning, I finally saw the essence of this market. Those fluctuating K-lines are not the codes to wealth, but amplifiers of human nature.
Data shows that in 2023, the crypto market:
Users with an average of over 100 trades per day have a loss rate of 92%
Accounts holding 1-3 cryptocurrencies outperform diversified holders by 53%
Users strictly implementing stop-loss strategies have a survival rate in bear markets increased by 6 times
2. Seven-Layer Defense System
1. Asset Tiered Allocation
Divide funds into:
Digital Gold Layer (BTC+ETH) accounts for 50%
Mainstream Public Chain Layer (SOL+BNB) accounts for 30%
Cash Reserve Layer accounts for 20%
New project allocation never exceeds 5% of total position
2. Three-Dimensional Dynamic Balance
Establish a position management model:
Price Dimension: Reduce 1/4 for every 20% increase
Time Dimension: Quarterly mandatory rebalancing
Risk Dimension: Automatic warning if single coin volatility exceeds 30%
3. Intelligent Circuit Breaker Mechanism
Set three levels of insurance:
Stop trading for 24 hours if daily loss exceeds 5%
Trigger risk control if weekly consecutive loss reaches 10%
Activate asset freeze if monthly return drawdown is 15%
4. Market Thermometer
Monitor three key indicators:
Fear and Greed Index below 80 for reduction
Net inflow of stablecoin exchanges
Median 30-day volatility of the top 50 cryptocurrencies
5. Trend Following Strategy
Only participate in conditions that meet:
Monthly RSI (14) in the 40-60 range
Exchange reserves continue to decline
Moderate funding rates for futures
6. Trading Rhythm Control
Set hard rules:
Mainstream coins annual trading frequency ≤ 12 times
Altcoin holding period ≥ 90 days
Lock in 30% profit after major positive news
7. Value Assessment Model
Establish a project scorecard:
Technical Dimension: Git weekly submissions ≥ 50 times
Ecosystem Dimension: TVL month-on-month growth > 15%
Institutional Dimension: Continuous increase in holding addresses
3. Practical Compound Interest Records
Key Node Operations:
1. May 2021: Liquidated all DeFi small coins when Gas fees exceeded 200 gwei
2. November 2022: Bought exchange tokens at 0.8 times PB after FTX collapse
3. December 2023: Positioned in mining stocks before Bitcoin ETF news release
Holding Profit Details:
BTC: 32,000 → 68,000 (112.5%)
ETH: 1,200 → 4,600 (283%)
BNB: 180 → 620 (244%)
If you don't understand cryptocurrencies yourself, it's recommended to follow Mr. Wen!
Whether it's fresh goods or harmony, opportunities are short, so make sure to seize them!
