BTC Today's Trend Analysis! ! A roller coaster market on a knife's edge
In this four-hour candlestick chart, BTC is now like walking a tightrope at $102,000! The price is stuck at the lower edge of the upper Bollinger Band, with both bulls and bears clashing with their knives.
1. Technical Aspect: The Bollinger Bands are about to break
1. The upper band is forming a "guillotine": The current price of $101,500 is stuck at the lower edge of the upper band, with the middle band at $101,200 being the lifeline. If it breaks down, it's a slide mode directly to the $98,500 support line.
2. MACD Dead Cross Confirmed: The DIF and DEA have crossed below, and the bars are as green as a miner's electrical leak—this is textbook-level top divergence! It was the same posture before the $120,000 avalanche last year; seasoned investors know what this means.
3. Volume is Missing: The trading volume during the rise is colder than at a widow's house, with on-chain exchange inventories hitting a 10-year low. The speculators rely solely on verbal manipulation, while the whales shout bull market while transferring bricks to cold wallets.
2. News Aspect: Three Mountains Pressing Down
The Federal Reserve's knife: If tonight's CPI data at 20:30 exceeds expectations, Powell will turn hawkish in an instant, and the big coin is more afraid of power outages than the miners;
Institutional Exodus: Grayscale dumped 23,000 BTC this week, while shouting "bull market is returning" and simultaneously offloading to Coinbase—more ruthless than a breakup with a scumbag;
Exchanges Playing Dirty: The long-short ratio on contracts spiked to 1.7, with speculators sharpening their knives and preparing to explode the bulls; a spike can happen at any moment.
3. Summary of the Brutal Impact
Right now, this market is like dancing on a minefield— the scenery is truly amazing, but stepping on a mine is really disastrous.
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