Bitcoin (BTC) is waqt ek aise range me aa chuka hai jahan se ya to rally aur tez ho sakti hai, ya phir bade investors (whales) profit lena shuru kar dein. BTC ne $104,000 se upar stability dikhai hai aur $105,000 tak recover bhi kar liya hai. Lekin Alphractal ke on-chain data ke mutabiq, $106,000 se upar ke levels par profit-taking ka strong chance hai.
BTC Ka Alpha Price Zone — Profit Ka Signal?
May 12, 2025 ko BTC ne Alpha Price ko touch kiya, jahan se historically OG whales ne apne long-term holdings sell kiye hain. Iss waqt 97% se zyada BTC supply profit me hai, jo December 2024 ke baad pehli dafa dekha gaya level hai.
Jab itna bada hissa profit me hota hai, to aksar long-term holders apne coins market me phir se laate hain — khas kar wo wallets jo kai saal se inactive rahe hain.
> "BTC Alpha Price par hai — ye OG whales ke liye ideal waqt hai profit lene ka. Zaroori nahi ke price ruk jaye, lekin is waqt ehtiyaat zaroori hai..."
— Joao Wedson, Alphractal Analyst
Market Sentiment: Greed Wapas Aa Gaya
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index ne 70 tak jump kiya hai, jo “Greed” zone ko dikhata hai. Sirf ek mahina pehle ye index 40 se neeche tha, yani log market se ghabra rahe the. Itni tezi se badhne wala greed sentiment aksar short-term peak ka signal hota hai.
$106,500: Futures Market Ka Battle Zone
Coinglass ke data ke mutabiq, BTC derivatives market me $106,500 ke aas-paas sabse zyada short positions maujood hain — takreeban $83 million ki liquidity iss level par hai. Agar BTC is level ko todta hai, to short squeeze ho sakta hai, jo price ko jaldi upar le ja sakta hai.
Haal hi me BTC ka price $102,000 tak gira, jahan long positions liquidate ho gayi. Ye market ki volatility ko dikhata hai — aur is baat ka bhi signal hai ke leverage se door rehna chahiye.
RSI Cooling Down, Magar Panic Ki Zarurat Nahi
BTC ka RSI (Relative Strength Index) ab neutral zone me aa gaya hai — yani na to overbought hai, na oversold. Ye thoda calm environment dikhata hai, lekin momentum bhi slow ho gaya hai. BTC ka open interest bhi $32B se gir kar $31B par aa gaya hai — yani traders ab cautious ho rahe hain.
Background Me Accumulation Jaari Hai
Jahan profit-taking ke signals mil rahe hain, wahi dusri taraf accumulation bhi jaari hai:
Whale wallets (10,000+ BTC) me 2 naye addresses shamil hue.
100 se 1,000 BTC wale wallets me 2,000 naye addresses add hue 6 mahine me.
BTC abhi bhi exchanges se outflow ho raha hai — yani log sell karne ke liye nahi, store karne ke liye purchase kar rahe hain.
Ye buying ETF flows, corporations (like Strategy), aur custodial wallets se aayi hai, jo on-chain movement me immediately visible nahi hoti.
Kya BTC $109K Ko Dubara Touch Karega?
Agar BTC $106K ka barrier todta hai, to next logical target $109,000 ka all-time high hoga. Lekin short-term me resistance kaafi strong hai, aur naye buyers ka aana zaroori hai. Rainbow chart BTC ko abhi bhi accumulation zone me dikha raha hai — jo long-term ke liye bullish signal hai.
Conclusion: Caution + Patience = Smart Strategy
BTC filhal ek crucial decision zone me hai. On-chain data aur market sentiment dono yeh keh rahe hain ke short-term correction aa sakta hai, lekin fundamentals strong hain.
Agar aap short-term trader hain, to $106K level ko closely monitor karein. Agar long-term holder hain, to yeh waqt hai accumulate karne ka — lekin patience ke saath.
