Reverse Thinking to Win: My Cryptocurrency Steady Investment Rules
Three Preparations Before Investment
1. Capital Planning: Divide the investment principal into 5 equal parts, with the initial investment not exceeding 20%
2. Knowledge Reserve: Systematically learn the basics of technical analysis (candlestick patterns, trading volume, MACD, etc.)
3. Psychological Preparation: Set a maximum loss limit (suggested not to exceed 15% of the principal)
Golden Rules for Bottom Layout
When the following characteristics appear, it is the best time to build a position:
The coin price is consolidated at key support levels for 15-30 days
Trading volume shrinks to below 40% of the average during new lows
The market fear index remains below 25 for three consecutive days
The balance of stablecoins on exchanges reaches a recent high
Practical Case
BTC consolidated at $38,000 for 28 days before suddenly dropping to $36,500
At the same time:
Trading volume decreased by 58%
The fear-greed index dropped to 22
USDT exchange balance increased by 1.2 billion
I use the "334" building method:
First position 30% @37,000
Second position 30% @36,000
Last position 40% @35,000
Final holding average price $36,000
Clear Signals for Exiting at the Top
Three major warning signs of a peak to be vigilant about:
1. Daily increase exceeds 12% and trading volume reaches 3 times the monthly average
2. Exchange deposit addresses increase by over 250% in a single week
3. Futures funding rate remains above 0.1% for three consecutive days
Profit-Taking Strategy
Phase One: Reduce 30% when profits reach 25%
Phase Two: Reduce an additional 40% when profits reach 50%
Set a dynamic stop profit for the remaining 30% (automatic liquidation at an 8% retracement)
Core Trading Rules
1. Upgraded Version of the Three No's Principle
Do not sell if it does not break the previous high by 10%
Do not buy if it does not break the previous low by 10%
Do not trade during the narrowing of Bollinger Bands
2. Yin-Yang Line Practical Rules
Buy Signal: Continuous 5 days of bearish candles and KDJ < 20
Sell Signal: Continuous 3 days of bullish candles and RSI > 75
Essence of Capital Management
1. Must withdraw the principal if profits exceed 30%
2. Retain no less than 40% of liquid funds
3. Immediately stop loss if a single trade loss reaches 7%
4. Do not trade more than 5 times a month
The BTC exchange inventory continues to decline, but the number of open futures contracts has reached a new high.
It is recommended to pay attention to the impact of next week's CPI data on the market! OM WIF #贸易战缓和 #ETH突破2500