Current Situation
- Last price: $104,605.00 (+1.15%)
- Marking price: $104,629.7
- 24h range: $103,283.3 – $105,863.1
- Volume (24h): 172,170.533 BTC / 17.97 billion USDT
- RSI(6): 81.2 (overbought)
- MACD: Divergence (DIF > DEA, histogram positive).
Key Levels
- Support:
- $103,283.3 (minimum 24h)
- $100,524.1 (psychological level)
- $93,614.7 (strong support)
- Resistance:
- $104,629.7 (marking price)
- $105,863.1 (maximum 24h)
- $107,433.5 (key level)
Trading Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario (break of resistance):
- Condition: Closing the candle above $105,863.1 with volume.
- Action: Buy with targets $107,433.5 → $110,000.
- Stop-loss: Below $104,000.
2. Bearish Scenario (correction):
- Condition: Bounce from $105,863.1 or drop below $104,000.
- Action: Sell with targets $103,283.3 → $100,524.1.
- Stop-loss: Above $105,900.
3. Consolidation in range:
- Condition: Movement between $103,283.3 and $105,863.1.
- Action: Trade from the boundaries of the range with short stops.
Risk Management
- Lot: No more than 1-2% of the deposit per trade.
- Stop-loss: Mandatory (1-2% of entry price).
- Take-profit: Secure profit in parts (50% at the first level, the rest — trailing).
Additional Indicators
- RSI(6): 81.2 — overbought signal. Correction possible.
- MACD: Positive, but requires confirmation of dynamics.
- Volume: High — confirms interest at current levels.
Conclusion
Today's plan focuses on price reaction to key levels. Key points of attention:
- Break above $105,863.1 for continued growth.
- Bounce from resistance or break of support at $104,000 for correction.
- Monitor RSI and MACD for signal confirmation.
Recommendation: Maintain discipline and do not ignore stop losses, especially with a high RSI.
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