BTC Trend and Liquidation Guide
1. Key Level Analysis
Current price is $99,152, facing triple pressure:
$100,000 level has a massive sell order
4-hour MACD golden cross but volume is shrinking
1-hour RSI 64.07
On-chain data shows: whales have accumulated 18,000 BTC in the $100,500-$101,500 range, but we need to be cautious of the 1.2% drop in Nasdaq futures bringing linked risks.
2. News Analysis
ETF Dynamics: Grayscale has reduced its holdings by an average of 2,200 BTC over the past three days, while BlackRock has placed 1,500 short orders at $104,500.
Policy Aspect: The New Hampshire bill has effectively brought about 4,200 BTC buying pressure.
3. Liquidation Strategies
High Position Liquidation Group
Can add positions in the $98,500-$99,000 range
Open 1.5x hedging long positions after stabilizing at $99,500
Take profit in batches: $103,000, $104,500, $108,000
Chasing Loss Group
Reduce positions by 30% if it drops below $98,700
Open quarterly contract long position after stabilizing at $98,500
Take partial profit at $100,000, and if it breaks $101,000, open a 3% short position.
4. Warning Indicators
Key Timing: Place grid orders at $96,800-$102,800 five minutes before CPI data is released.
Anomaly Signal: A sudden increase of 600+ BTC purchases on Coinbase or Binance fees >0.03% should be monitored.
Nighttime Volatility: Expect fluctuations in the $97,500-$99,800 range.
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