$BTC Cryptocurrency Circle Nine Years of Liquidation Summarizing a Set of Hidden Rules
💥【Trend Judgment】Dimension
1️⃣ Technical Indicator Resonance Law
Bullish Signal：
✅MACD Double Line Golden Cross + Daily Close Stabilizes Above MA60
✅Bollinger Band Squeeze Followed by Breakout of the Middle Band, Combined with RSI<30 Oversold Rebound (Win Rate Increased to 68%)
·
Bearish Signal：Leave 167👆🏻🏎️
❌MACD Top Divergence (New Price High but Red Bar Volume Decreases) + 4-Hour K Line Breaks Below Bollinger Band Lower Band
❌Rising Wedge Breakout (After High, Daily Line Confirms Trend Reversal with Three Red Candles)
·
Trend Verification：
🔍When Breaking Key Levels, Volume Must Increase to 1.5 Times the Average Volume of the Previous 3 Days
·
2️⃣ Market Sentiment Contrarian Indicator
When Fear and Greed Index > 80, Gradually Open Short BTC Quarterly Contracts (This Strategy Avoided a 15% Crash in April 2024)
Exchange USDT Interest Rates Plummeting Often Indicates Retail Leverage Is Overheated, Increasing Contrarian Win Rate
·
🎯【Opening Position】Entry Model
1️⃣ Go 📈 Gold Points
Support Level Pyramid Positioning：First Position 30% at Daily Fibonacci 38.2% Retracement, Add 20% for Every 3% Drop
Breakout Pullback Sniping：After a Volume Breakout of Previous Highs, Enter on a Pullback of 1%-2% from Breakout Point
·
2️⃣ Special Market Response
Contract Expiry Curse：61% Probability of Price Reversal 7 Days Before Quarterly Contract Expiry (8% Crash During December 2024 Delivery Week)
·
🛡️【Risk Control System】Defense Line
1️⃣ Dynamic Stop Loss System
📈Single Stop Loss: Set 5% Below Support Level
📉Single Stop Loss: Set 3% Above Resistance Level
·
2️⃣ Leverage Scenario Management
Volatile Market (Daily Fluctuation <3%): 3x Leverage + Positioning in 3 Batches
One-Sided Market (ETH Breaks New High): 8x Leverage + Breakout Adding Position Strategy
Casualty Red Line: Altcoin Leverage ≤ 3x, Mainstream Coin Leverage ≤ 10x
·
1️⃣ Surge Restraint：
After BTC Rises Over 15% in a Single Day, Probability of Pullback the Next Day is 70% (12% Pullback After Surge in April 2025)
·
2️⃣ Crash Calm：
After a Single Day Drop of 20%, Probability of Rebound Over 10% Within 3 Days is 65%
·
🌈Formula and Action Guide
Weight = Technical (40%) + Risk Control (30%) + Mindset (20%) + Luck (10%)#BTC重返10万 #币安Alpha上新
