$ETH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & LONG-TERM ETH INVESTMENT STRATEGY

Ethereum is not just a token, it is the 'growth stock' of a new economy – where code is law, and trust does not require a third party.

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I. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Technical data helps investors determine entry points – but for long-term ETH, the goal is not to 'catch short waves', but to optimize positions and holding time.

1. Important indicators to monitor:

• 200-day MA (Moving Average): The 200-day moving average is the boundary between bullish and bearish trends. If the ETH price is above MA200, the long-term trend is positive.

• RSI (Relative Strength Index):

• RSI > 70: Overbought area (beware of FOMO)

• RSI < 30: Oversold area (buying strategy opportunity)

• RSI 40–60: Accumulation/sideways phase

• Volume: When price increases accompanied by high volume, it indicates strong buying power, the market's confidence.

• Trendline & Support/Resistance:

• Strong support: $1,700–$1,900 (price range tested multiple times)

• Major resistance: $3,500–$4,000 (previous peak not sustainably surpassed)

• Fibonacci Retracement: Useful for determining reasonable pullback areas after strong increases – usually at 0.5 and 0.618 levels.

2. Long-term charts (weekly, monthly)

ETH has a growth cycle associated with major upgrades:

• 2017: ICO explosion

• 2020–2021: DeFi and NFT

• 2022–2023: Merge (PoS) – accumulation

• 2024+: Danksharding, Layer 2, tokenization of real-world assets (RWA)

==> ETH has a long-term 'Cup & Handle' pattern – an accumulation signal to break higher if it breaks through strong resistance.

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II. LONG-TERM INVESTING STRATEGY

Ethereum is not for those seeking a 'get rich quick' dream, but for those who understand fundamental value and are willing to accompany it for at least 3–5 years.

1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy

• Contribute regularly every week/month, regardless of price going up or down.

• Strong mindset, no FOMO – automation is key.

• For example: Every month $200, buy ETH regardless of price, for 3 years.

Advantages: Avoid 'buying the top', take advantage of market panic.

2. Portfolio Allocation

• If ETH is the foundation, it should account for 20%–40% of the crypto portfolio (depending on risk appetite).

• The remaining portion can be allocated to BTC, stablecoins, or Layer 2s like Arbitrum, Optimism.

3. Utilize ETH Staking

• If you don't want to trade, you can stake ETH to receive interest of 3–5% per year.

• Liquid staking solutions (Lido, RocketPool) allow you to earn interest while still having flexible capital usage.

4. Monitor system upgrades & market cycles

• Each time Ethereum undergoes a major upgrade (The Merge, The Surge, The Scourge…) is a period of 'new clothes' – the market often reacts positively.

• Note that the BTC halving cycle (4 years) also significantly impacts ETH – typically ETH rises sharply after BTC by a few months.

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III. LONG-TERM THINKING – ETH IS NOT JUST BUYING AND SELLING

ETH is an asset shaping the future of:

• Decentralized finance

• Digital Rights

• Self-operating organizations

• Digital identity verification

• Tokenization of real estate, stocks, art

Therefore, investing in ETH is placing trust in transparency, decentralization, and programming financial-social relationships.

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CONCLUSION:

Ethereum = The foundation of Internet 3.0

And holding ETH long-term is placing trust in a digital future – where trust, value, and creativity are not controlled by a few intermediary organizations.