Current price: 14.26 USDT.

Analysis time: May 11, 2025.

1. Daily level: clear top signal, increased warning of volume stagnation.

After a significant increase to a high of 16.44, it quickly retreated, leaving a long upper shadow candlestick, which is a standard 'stagnation signal'.

The current price is under pressure at EMA200 (14.82), forming strong upward resistance and closing below the BOLL middle band.

The BOLL band is widening and slowing down, with initial signs of a downward contraction, indicating that the momentum top stage has been reached.

The MACD high position death cross is initially evident, and the RSI has retreated from the overbought zone below 65, showing a downward channel.

Conclusion: the daily line shows that the TRUMP upward trend has weakened, forming a clear top signal, with a risk of a deep correction.

2. Four-hour line: the breakout structure has formed, and a weak rebound is a good opportunity to short.

In the four-hour chart, TRUMP has completed a double top structure from the high point of 16.44 and is currently in the second rebound confirmation of the neckline stage.

EMA50 has crossed below EMA20 and EMA13, forming a short to medium-term bearish arrangement.

The current K-line has surged and then retreated, just blocked near EMA100. If the rebound does not succeed, it will be a good opportunity to short.

The MACD death cross is downward, the red bars are continuously shortening, and the RSI has fallen below 50, confirming the momentum has turned bearish.

Conclusion: the four-hour bearish trend is established, structure breakout + rebound confirmation, short position is precise.

3. One-hour line: top weakening + trend divergence, short-term selling pressure is strong.

The one-hour chart has formed a three consecutive bearish pattern, with weak reactions at high levels and continuous decline in momentum.

The BOLL upper band has turned down, and the current price is running between the middle and lower bands, indicating that a downward channel has initially formed.

The RSI maintains weak fluctuations, unable to retake 50, the MACD green bars are expanding, and short-term momentum continues to release.

Conclusion: the short cycle combined with the medium to long-term bearish structure makes the timing for short positions extremely ideal.

4. Short position operation strategy recommendation (high win rate sniper plan).

Short strategy recommendation:

Entry position: 14.26.

First Zhi Ying: 14.00.

Second Zhi Ying: 13.79.

Zhi loss position: 14.44.

Yesterday's review and today's directional logic.

A rapid market surge to 16.44 occurred, suspected of being a major player inducing long positions + unloading.

The trading volume has not increased, and today’s pullback after a long upper shadow confirms the induced long signal.

The structure shows that the top has been established, with today's direction tending towards continuous decline or a quick drop after a failed rebound.

Yesterday's direction: induced long positions and sharp rise to create a top.
Today's prediction: failed rebound → continuation of decline, suitable for high short speculation.
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