1. Current situation
- Last price: $103,205.50 (+0.62%)
- Marking price: $103,207.5 (close to last price, minimal liquidation risk)
- 24h range: $102,240.0 – $104,085.0 (volatility ~1.8%)
- Volumes:
- 90,575 BTC (~9.35 billion USDT) – high volume, confirms activity.
2. Key levels
- Support:
- $102,240.0 (minimum 24h)
- $102,133.3 (additional level on the chart)
- Resistance:
- $104,085.0 (maximum 24h)
- $103,541.1 (local level from 'Open' data).
3. Indicators
- RSI(6): 40.6 – neutral zone (no overbought/oversold).
- MACD: -88.5, histogram negative, but the difference between DIF and DEA is insignificant (20A.2 vs. 292.7). Possible weak bearish momentum.
- Volume (VOL): High – confirms interest in current prices.
4. Trading plan
Scenario 1: Rise to resistance
- Long entry: On confident breakout of $103,541.1 with volume.
- Take-profit: $104,085.0 (test maximum), then $104,500.0 (psychological level).
- Stop-loss: $102,900.0 (below current price and marking).
Scenario 2: Correction to support
- Short entry: On rebound from $103,541.1 or drop below $103,000.0.
- Take-profit: $102,240.0 (minimum 24h), then $102,000.0.
- Stop-loss: $103,800.0 (above local resistance).
Scenario 3: Consolidation
- Range trading: $102,240.0 – $104,085.0.
- Strategy: Scalping on rebounds from boundaries with low risk.
5. Risk management
- Risk per trade: No more than 1-2% of the deposit.
- Risk/reward ratio: 1:2 (e.g., stop-loss $50, take-profit $100).
- Important: Watch MACD and RSI when approaching key levels.
6. Additional factors
- Time: Asia/Europe – increased volatility possible.
- News: Monitor macroeconomic events (e.g., USD inflation).
Conclusion: Today's plan is focused on trading within the range with an emphasis on breakouts of key levels. Priority is caution due to neutral indicators.
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