Brothers, just now heavy news broke; Trump suddenly announced he is considering imposing an 80% tariff on China! This is not a small matter, but a direct doubling down! Just yesterday, the market was celebrating because the US and UK reached a trade agreement, causing global risk assets to rise collectively, with Bitcoin and Ethereum breaking through key resistance levels. But today, this sudden turn has changed the market direction!
1. Trump's tax threat has heightened market panic.
Trump posted on social media stating, 'Imposing an 80% tariff on China seems correct,' mentioning that it depends on US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin's negotiation strategy. This means that Sino-US trade negotiations may fall back into a deadlock, potentially triggering a new round of market turmoil.
- Historical experience tells us that trade wars = market crashes: During the Sino-US trade war in 2018, Bitcoin plummeted from $8,000 to $3,000, causing severe turbulence in global financial markets.
- The cryptocurrency market may be impacted in the short term: If negotiations break down, market risk aversion may increase, causing funds to flow from risk assets (like cryptocurrencies) to safe-haven assets such as gold and the US dollar.
2. The mysterious ETH whale has not exited; hidden secrets behind the $50 million loss.
On April 10, I mentioned a super dealer of Ethereum, who at that time did not take profits at the low point, but instead continued to increase their position. Now, in just one month, their holdings have lost $50 million. Strangely, they have still not closed their position!
- Why is the dealer holding on? Either it is waiting for a bigger market move, or it has been trapped and is forced to wait for a rebound.
- This afternoon there were three large sell orders: I observed three large sell orders on the ETH chain, suspected to be the dealer starting to reduce their position. If Sino-US negotiations worsen, ETH may face even greater selling pressure.
3. Market sentiment has overheated; FOMO = danger signal!
The market has surged too rapidly recently, and many people are starting to FOMO (fear of missing out), frantically chasing prices. But history tells us: after a rapid rise, there must be a correction!
- Low liquidity over the weekend can amplify volatility: If negative news emerges from Sino-US negotiations, the market could collapse instantly.
- It is advisable to stay on the sidelines: Rather than risking chasing high prices, it's better to wait until the situation becomes clearer before making decisions.
4. My advice: Don't gamble; get a good night's sleep first!
The market changes rapidly; true winners rely not on luck, but on patience. The safest strategy now is:
✅ Stay on the sidelines, waiting for the market to digest the bad news.
✅ Pay attention to the progress of Sino-US negotiations; if it worsens, a significant correction may be on the horizon.
✅ Avoid FOMO; don't buy at emotional highs.
Brothers, don't be blinded by the short-term surge; real opportunities often arise after a sharp drop! For now, hold steady and wait for a clear signal from the market before taking action!
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