Based on data from major time frames, GUN/USDT is trading in an accumulation zone with divergence signals between volume and price. Below is a detailed analysis and the proposed trading strategy.
1. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BY TIME FRAME
15-minute frame – Short-term downtrend, clearly oversold
• Current price: 0.05370 USDT (+9.79%)
• EMA: Price is below EMA7, EMA25, and EMA99 → short-term down structure.
• RSI6: 27.83 → strongly oversold region.
• MACD: Negative histogram (-0.00018), downward momentum still prevails.
• Volume: Hitting the bottom – much lower than MA5 and MA15.
• Conclusion: Price is oversold, may recover soon if confirmed by volume.
1-hour frame – Accumulation in a narrow range
• Price: 0.05373 USDT (+9.85%)
• EMA: Price is between EMA7 and EMA25 → neutral signal.
• RSI: RSI indicators are oscillating around 45–59, indicating a sideways state.
• MACD: Slightly negative histogram, indicating weakening momentum.
• Volume: Significant decline – need to monitor breakout with confirmed volume.
• Conclusion: Accumulation phase, waiting to break out of the range to determine a clear direction.
4-hour frame – Exceeding EMA99, initially confirming an uptrend
• Price: 0.05378 USDT (+9.96%)
• EMA: Price exceeds EMA99 for the first time after many sessions – signaling the start of an uptrend.
• RSI6: 70.66 – entering the overbought region.
• MACD: Strong positive histogram (0.00102) → confirming increasing momentum.
• Volume: Not strong enough to confirm a sustainable breakout.
• Conclusion: There are bullish signals, but support volume is needed to avoid a bull trap.
1-day frame – Positive signals are gradually forming
• Price: 0.05377 USDT (+9.94%)
• EMA: Price is above EMA7 and EMA25 → medium-term trend is gradually shifting to increasing.
• MACD: Still negative but narrowing – initial positive signal.
• RSI: Neutral, still room for increase if capital flow improves.
• Volume: Not breaking out yet – large capital is not truly returning.
• Conclusion: A medium-term uptrend may form if maintained above EMA25.
2. SUGGESTED TRADING STRATEGY
Scenario 1 – BUY (Long) according to the recovery wave
• Entry point:
• When the price breaks 0.05440 (EMA25 – 15-minute frame) with a significant increase in volume.
• Or when the price retests the support level of 0.05275 (EMA99 – 15-minute frame) and bounces back.
• Stop loss: 0.05200 (below psychological support).
• Take profit:
• Target 1: 0.05600 (EMA4h resistance).
• Target 2: 0.05850 (latest peak).
• Probability of success: ~60–65%, higher if confirmed by volume.
Scenario 2 – SELL (Short) when support is lost
• Entry point:
• If the price breaks 0.05300 with RSI6 (15m frame) > 50 → bearish divergence.
• Or RSI6 (4h frame) decreases from the overbought zone below 70.
• Stop loss: 0.05450 (above EMA25 – 1h frame).
• Take profit:
• Target 1: 0.05100
• Target 2: 0.04900
• Probability of success: ~55–60%, lower due to the medium-term trend still leaning towards increase.
Scenario 3 – Safe trading (according to breakout)
• Strategy: Wait for the price to break out of the accumulation range of 0.05300–0.05440.
• Confirm consensus from:
• 15-minute frame: MACD turns positive + RSI6 exceeds 50.
• 4h frame: Price maintains above EMA99.
• Daily frame: MACD histogram decreasing in negative depth.
• Priority: Trade in the Long direction if confirmation signals appear.
• Probability of success: ~70–75% if there is agreement from multiple frames.
3. RISK MANAGEMENT & GENERAL NOTES
• Position sizing: Do not exceed 1–2% of capital per order.
• Risk:Reward ratio: Always ensure a minimum of 1:2.
• Further monitoring:
• Bitcoin trend: GUN may follow BTC's trend.
• Project news: May create sudden volatility.
• Actual volume: A crucial confirmation factor before any decision.
Note: The crypto market always has a delay between time frames. Need to closely monitor updated signals before placing orders.
If you find the post useful, please support the author for more motivation to write by:
Like the post
Click on the cryptocurrency chart to open a transaction if you intend to invest
Press follow to update the latest analysis every day.