Bitcoin price is trading shy of $100,000 amid a third consecutive weekly all-time high in Realized Capitalization, suggesting renewed investor conviction and setting the stage for potential upside.
Trading volume has spiked over 60%, reinforcing the bullish bias. Amid these trends, veteran broadcaster Max Keiser projects a 410% gain from current levels—equivalent to roughly $500,000 per BTC—if momentum persists.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price hovers at $99,836, up 3.03% in 24 hours. It is less than $200 from breaching the $100,000 threshold.
Trading volume over the same period jumped 60.84% to $54.04 billion, a sign of heightened market participation.
On May 7, 2025, the U.S. Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25%—4.50%, yet Bitcoin saw only brief weakness near $96,000 before rebounding, underscoring resilience against monetary-policy headwinds.
Bitcoin On-Chain Technical Outlook
Realized Capitalization—which sums the USD value of each BTC at its last on-chain movement—hit a record $890 billion, marking its third straight week of new all-time highs, according to CryptoQuant data.
Source: X
That streak reflects growing capital inflows from both long-term and short-term holders, as wallets between 10 BTC and 10,000 BTC added over 81,000 BTC since late March 2025.
CryptoQuant data confirm that this metric often precedes major price moves, as it captures the actual cost basis of coins in circulation rather than speculative market cap figures.
In late April, the metric had already climbed to $872.2 billion—up from $800 billion at the start of that month—indicating a sustained accumulation phase.
Expert Eyes $500,000 BTC Rally
In an X post today, financial commentator Max Keiser has predicted a 410% rally from current levels. According to Keiser, such a rally would take BTC to roughly $500,000—a forecast grounded in the asset’s limited supply and growing adoption.
Source: X
Keiser’s view joins a chorus of bullish voices but stands out for its scale: while many analysts eye $150,000–$200,000 in the next cycle, Keiser’s half-million price point hinges on continued on-chain strength and macro tailwinds.
Max Keiser’s $500,000 projection adds a high-water mark, though execution will depend on sustaining the on-chain and macro momentum observed in early May 2025.
Bitcoin Breaks Realized Cap All-Time High for the Third Consecutive Week“This pattern reflects growing confidence among both Long-Term Holders and Short-Term Holders, who are strengthening their positions as the market shows signs of recovery.” – By @oro_crypto pic.twitter.com/rQoWq1zqHy
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) May 8, 2025
Nature hates a vacuum and so does money. The vacuum from $98,000 to $500,000 is gaining suction. Like a nmematic tube, BTC price will whisk away to that price in a jiffy.
— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) May 7, 2025
