$BTC points

- Support Level: Short-term $94,381, strong support at $85,000.

- Resistance Level: Short-term $99,449, historical high at $109,021.

Technical Signals

- Overbought Risk: RSI breaking 70 may trigger a pullback.

- Bullish Breakout: Stabilizing above $99,449 or rising towards $105,000-$110,000.

- Bearish Breakdown: Falling below $94,381 may test $85,000.

Influencing Factors

1. Institutional Dynamics: MicroStrategy increased holdings by 6,911 BTC (total holdings over 500,000), sending positive signals.

2. Macroeconomics: May 13 U.S. CPI data (expected 2.6%) may impact Federal Reserve policy, easing expectations are favorable for BTC.

3. Regulatory Environment: The Trump administration's attitude towards cryptocurrencies is friendly, but tariff policies may cause volatility.

4. Market Sentiment: Mixed long and short views on platform X, leading to increased short-term volatility.

5. Technical Patterns: Ascending triangle converging, breakout direction may be chosen between May 13-15.

Forecast for the Next Two Weeks (until May 22)