Multi-timeframe overview
1. 15-minute frame
EMA: EMA(7) = 3.059 > EMA(25) = 3.045 > EMA(99) = 3.025 → Short-term trend is increasing, but EMA(7) and EMA(25) are close, could reverse quickly.
RSI: RSI(6) = 60.2 (neutral), RSI(12) = 64.8 (near overbought zone) → Slight possibility of correction.
MACD: Weak up signal (DIF > DEA but MACD small).
Volume: Lower than average → Lack of clear driving force.
OBV: Decreasing → Selling pressure is dominant.
2. 1-hour frame
EMA: Maintaining short-term uptrend (EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99)).
RSI: RSI(6) = 70.1 (in overbought zone), RSI(12) = 67.3 → Clear risk of correction.
MACD: Up signal but not strong.
Volume: Below average → Unsustainable increase.
OBV: Weak increase → Buying pressure is weakening.
3. 4-hour frame
EMA: EMA(7) < EMA(99), EMA(25) < EMA(99) → Medium-term trend may be reversing down.
RSI: RSI(6) = 79.3 (strongly overbought), RSI(12) = 67.4 → Very high risk of correction.
MACD: Up signal but weak.
Volume: Exceeds average but combined with overbought RSI → Correction warning.
OBV: Negative and decreasing → Strong selling pressure.
4. Daily frame
EMA: EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99) → Medium-term downtrend still maintained.
RSI: Slightly overbought at RSI(6), neutral at longer RSIs → Possible correction.
MACD: Still below the 0 line → Downtrend has not been broken.
Volume: Lower than MA(5) → Not enough force to reverse upwards.
OBV: Gradually decreasing → Weak buying pressure.
5. Long-term frame
EMA: EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99) → Clear long-term downtrend.
RSI & MACD: Neutral to negative, no clear signs of recovery.
Volume & OBV: Very weak → Lack of momentum for recovery.
Suggested trading strategy
Short-term (15m–1h)
Buy when the price exceeds EMA(7) and RSI(6) < 70; TP at EMA(25), SL below EMA(99).
Sell when RSI(6) > 70 and MACD starts to decline; TP near support zone, SL above the nearest peak.
Success probability: ~60%.
Medium-term (4h–1D):
Sell if EMA(7) crosses down EMA(25) and RSI(12) < 50; TP at EMA(99), SL above EMA(7).
Success probability: ~65%.
Long-term (multiple days frame):
Sell when the price tests EMA(99) and RSI(24) < 50; TP lower, SL above EMA(25).
Success probability: ~70%.
Conclusion
TON is signaling an increase in the short term but has a high risk of correction in larger frames. Investors need to closely monitor RSI and volume trends to avoid being caught when the upward force is not strong enough.
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