Tonight, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced, and the probability of a rate cut is only 3%!?
Last month's non-farm payroll data greatly exceeded expectations, making the probability of a rate cut in June only 30%, with the next potential cut possibly in July.
What are the conditions for a rate cut? Economic data, as well as consumer data slowing down and rising unemployment rates. None of these points have met the Federal Reserve's expectations for a rate cut, and Powell's evening speech may also serve as a warning to the market and will not lead to a rate cut! 👆 Analysis from the U.S. perspective
I am Yan Shi, fully prepared, refusing all hindsight behaviors, meat signal 111
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