2 AM Federal Reserve meeting script: first drop then rise, first tightening then loosening, first panic then dovish.

According to past experience, if there is no interest rate cut this time, Powell will be dovish in his subsequent speech to manage expectations. The probability of a rebound after the speech is high.

The above script is just a guess based on past experiences. It is best to close high leverage positions before the meeting and not to gamble on direction tonight.

The topics that may be mentioned tonight are very sensitive: tariffs, the independence of the Federal Reserve, the India-Pakistan conflict, sudden appreciation of Asian currencies, etc.…

As long as there is high leverage, the outcome will be a double explosion in both long and short positions.